ArticlePloS one2020
Forecasting the prevalence of overweight and obesity in India to 2040.
Article in PloS one, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 99 papers, 5 of them syntheses that pooled it.
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Who cites it
99 citing papers in PubMed, 5 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 230 citations in OpenAlex.
- Trends in prevalence of type 2 diabetes, obesity, and hypertension in urban India since 2000: a systematic review and meta-analysis.Epidemiologic reviews · 2026Pooled it
- A Systematic Review and Bayesian Network Meta-Analysis Comparing In-Person, Remote, and Blended Interventions in Physical Activity, Diet, Education, and Behavioral Modification on Gestational Weight Gain among Overweight or Obese Pregnant Individuals.Advances in nutrition (Bethesda, Md.) · 2024Pooled it
- Acupoint catgut embedding for simple obesity in animal studies: a systematic review and Meta-analysis.Journal of traditional Chinese medicine = Chung i tsa chih ying wen pan · 2023Pooled it
- Pooled it
- Normal Weight Obesity and Cardiometabolic Risk Factors: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.Frontiers in endocrinology · 2022Pooled it
- Trial
- Front-of-Package Labels on Unhealthy Packaged Foods in India: Evidence from a Randomized Field Experiment.Nutrients · 2022Trial
- LSG vs MGB-OAGB: 5-Year Follow-up Data and Comparative Outcome of the Two Procedures over Long Term-Results of a Randomised Control Trial.Obesity surgery · 2021Trial
- Beyond BMI: Personalized Nutrition in Obesity, Normal-Weight Obesity, Metabolic Syndrome, and MASLD.Nutrients · 2026Review
- Efficacy and safety of semaglutide injection in comparison with reference semaglutide for chronic weight management in indian adults with obesity: A phase III randomized non-inferiority trial.Metabolism open · 2026Article
- Trends of Obesity Among Adults, Children, and Adolescents in India (1990-2022): A Retrospective Ecological Analysis.Cureus · 2026Article
- Have sedentary lifestyles reached even remote parts of the Global South? Evidence from school-going adolescents' time use in India.PloS one · 2026Article
- Obesity and type 2 diabetes as chronic inflammation: how does the cytokine evidence align?Frontiers in endocrinology · 2026Review
- Advances in the management of obesity: non-pharmacological strategies, herbal formulations, current pharmacotherapy, emerging drugs, and future perspectives.Frontiers in endocrinology · 2026Review
- Clinico-epidemiological profile findings of the screened population under NPCDCS-Ayush (Integration of Homeopathy along with Yoga): a pilot project.Frontiers in public health · 2026Article
- A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis of the Effects of Various Physical Activity Interventions in Pregnant Women with Overweight or Obesity.Healthcare (Basel, Switzerland) · 2025Review
- Effects of Chitosan Oligosaccharide Supplementation on Lipid Profiles in Overweight and Obese Thai Women: A Randomized Controlled Trial.Food science & nutrition · 2025Article
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39 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.
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Authors and funding
8 authors at 4 institutions in 3 countries.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
backgroundIn India, the prevalence of overweight and obesity has increased rapidly in recent decades. Given the association between overweight and obesity with many non-communicable diseases, forecasts of the future prevalence of overweight and obesity can help inform policy in a country where around one sixth of the world's population resides.
methodsWe used a system of multi-state life tables to forecast overweight and obesity prevalence among Indians aged 20-69 years by age, sex and urban/rural residence to 2040. We estimated the incidence and initial prevalence of overweight using nationally representative data from the National Family Health Surveys 3 and 4, and the Study on global AGEing and adult health, waves 0 and 1. We forecasted future mortality, using the Lee-Carter model fitted life tables reported by the Sample Registration System, and adjusted the mortality rates for Body Mass Index using relative risks from the literature.
resultsThe prevalence of overweight will more than double among Indian adults aged 20-69 years between 2010 and 2040, while the prevalence of obesity will triple. Specifically, the prevalence of overweight and obesity will reach 30.5% (27.4%-34.4%) and 9.5% (5.4%-13.3%) among men, and 27.4% (24.5%-30.6%) and 13.9% (10.1%-16.9%) among women, respectively, by 2040. The largest increases in the prevalence of overweight and obesity between 2010 and 2040 is expected to be in older ages, and we found a larger relative increase in overweight and obesity in rural areas compared to urban areas. The largest relative increase in overweight and obesity prevalence was forecast to occur at older age groups.
conclusionThe overall prevalence of overweight and obesity is expected to increase considerably in India by 2040, with substantial increases particularly among rural residents and older Indians. Detailed predictions of excess weight are crucial in estimating future non-communicable disease burdens and their economic impact.
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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.