Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32089628›Full record

ArticleWorld journal of gastroenterology2020

Development of a prognostic model for one-year surgery risk in Crohn's disease patients: A retrospective study.

Jia-Yin Yao, Yi Jiang, Jia Ke, Yi Lu, Jun Hu, Min Zhi

Open access · hybridAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in World journal of gastroenterology, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 10 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
10citing papers in PubMed
1.6field-weighted citation impact, top 16% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

10 citing papers in PubMed, 16 citations in OpenAlex.

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  10. Prophylaxis of Crohn's disease recurrence: A surgeon's perspective.Annals of gastroenterological surgery · 2020
    Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors at 3 institutions in 1 country.

Jia-Yin YaoDepartment of Gastroenterology, Guangdong Provincial Key Laboratory of Colorectal and Pelvic Floor Diseases, The Sixth Affiliated Hospital of Sun Yat-Sen University, Guangzhou 510655, Guangdong Province, China.
Yi JiangDepartment of Gastroenterology, Guangdong Provincial Key Laboratory of Colorectal and Pelvic Floor Diseases, The Sixth Affiliated Hospital of Sun Yat-Sen University, Guangzhou 510655, Guangdong Province, China.
Jia KeDepartment of Colorectal Surgery, The Sixth Affiliated Hospital of Sun Yat-Sen University, Guangzhou 510655, Guangdong Province, China.
Yi LuDepartment of Anesthesiology, Guangzhou Hospital of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Guangzhou 510130, Guangdong Province, China.
Jun HuGuangdong Institute of Gastroenterology, Guangdong Provincial Key Laboratory of Colorectal and Pelvic Floor Diseases, The Sixth Affiliated Hospital of Sun Yat-Sen University, Guangzhou 510655, Guangdong Province, China.
Min ZhiDepartment of Gastroenterology, Guangdong Provincial Key Laboratory of Colorectal and Pelvic Floor Diseases, The Sixth Affiliated Hospital of Sun Yat-Sen University, Guangzhou 510655, Guangdong Province, China. doctorzhimin@163.com.
Sixth Affiliated Hospital of Sun Yat-sen University · CNSun Yat-sen University · CNGuangdong Provincial Hospital of Traditional Chinese Medicine · CN

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundAccelerated therapeutic treatment should be considered in patients with progressive Crohn's disease (CD) to prevent complications as well as surgery. Therefore, screening for risk factors and predicting the need for early surgery are of great importance in clinical practice.

aimTo establish a model to predict CD-related early surgery.

methodsThis was a retrospective study collecting data from CD patients diagnosed at our inflammatory bowel disease center from January 1, 2012 to December 31, 2016. All data were randomly stratified into a training set and a testing set at a ratio of 8:2. Multivariable logistic regression analysis was conducted with receiver operating characteristic curves constructed and areas under the curve calculated. This model was further validated with calibration and discrimination estimated. A nomogram was finally developed.

resultsA total of 1002 eligible patients were enrolled with a mean follow-up period of 53.54 ± 13.10 mo. In total, 24.25% of patients received intestinal surgery within 1 year after diagnosis due to complications or disease relapse. Disease behavior (B2: OR [odds ratio] = 6.693,

conclusionThis prognostic model can effectively predict 1-year risk of CD-related intestinal surgery, which will assist in screening progressive CD patients and tailoring therapeutic management.

Indexed as

NomogramsAdolescentAdultBiological ProductsC-Reactive ProteinCrohn DiseaseDigestive System Surgical ProceduresDisease ProgressionEnteral NutritionFemaleFollow-Up StudiesHumansMaleRetrospective StudiesRisk AssessmentRisk FactorsBiological ProductsC-Reactive ProteinCrohn’s diseaseEarly surgeryInflammatory bowel diseaseNomogramPrognostic modelRetrospective study

Identifiers

PMID32089628
PMCPMC7015715
OpenAlexW3004790394

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.