Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32085617›Full record

ArticleCancers2020

Multicenter External Validation of the Liverpool Uveal Melanoma Prognosticator Online: An OOG Collaborative Study.

Alda Cunha Rola, Azzam Taktak, Antonio Eleuteri, Helen Kalirai, Heinrich Heimann, Rumana Hussain, Laura J Bonnett, Christopher J Hill, Matthew Traynor, Martine J Jager and 21 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Cancers, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 27 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
27citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

27 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Management of liver metastases from uveal melanoma.The British journal of surgery · 2025
    Review
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. Review
  16. Article
  17. Article
  18. Vascular Lakes in Uveal Melanoma and Their Association With Outcome.Translational vision science & technology · 2022
    Article
  19. Article
  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

31 authors.

Alda Cunha RolaLiverpool Ocular Oncology Research Group, Department of Molecular and Clinical Cancer Medicine, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, L7 8TX, UK.
Azzam TaktakLiverpool Ocular Oncology Research Group, Department of Molecular and Clinical Cancer Medicine, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, L7 8TX, UK.
Antonio EleuteriLiverpool Ocular Oncology Research Group, Department of Molecular and Clinical Cancer Medicine, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, L7 8TX, UK.
Helen KaliraiLiverpool Ocular Oncology Research Group, Department of Molecular and Clinical Cancer Medicine, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, L7 8TX, UK.
Heinrich HeimannLiverpool Ocular Oncology Research Group, Department of Molecular and Clinical Cancer Medicine, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, L7 8TX, UK.
Rumana HussainLiverpool Ocular Oncology Research Group, Department of Molecular and Clinical Cancer Medicine, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, L7 8TX, UK.
Laura J BonnettDepartment of Biostatistics, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, L69 3GL, UK.
Christopher J HillLiverpool Ocular Oncology Research Group, Department of Molecular and Clinical Cancer Medicine, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, L7 8TX, UK.
Matthew TraynorLiverpool Bio-Innovation Hub Biobank, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, L7 8TX, UK.
Martine J JagerDepartment of Ophthalmology, Leiden University Medical Center, Leiden, 2333 ZA, The Netherlands.
Marina MarinkovicDepartment of Ophthalmology, Leiden University Medical Center, Leiden, 2333 ZA, The Netherlands.
Gregorius P M LuytenDepartment of Ophthalmology, Leiden University Medical Center, Leiden, 2333 ZA, The Netherlands.
Mehmet DogrusözDepartment of Ophthalmology, Leiden University Medical Center, Leiden, 2333 ZA, The Netherlands.
Emine KilicRotterdam Ocular Melanoma Study Group, Erasmus University Medical Center, Rotterdam, 3008 AE, The Netherlands.
Annelies de KleinRotterdam Ocular Melanoma Study Group, Erasmus University Medical Center, Rotterdam, 3008 AE, The Netherlands.
Kyra SmitRotterdam Ocular Melanoma Study Group, Erasmus University Medical Center, Rotterdam, 3008 AE, The Netherlands.
Natasha M van PoppelenRotterdam Ocular Melanoma Study Group, Erasmus University Medical Center, Rotterdam, 3008 AE, The Netherlands.
Bertil E DamatoOcular Oncology, Vitreoretinal Diseases & Surgery, University of California, San Francisco, CA 94143, USA.
Armin AfsharOcular Oncology, Vitreoretinal Diseases & Surgery, University of California, San Francisco, CA 94143, USA.
Rudolf F GuthoffDepartment of Ophthalmology, University of Rostock, D-18057 Rostock, Germany.
Björn O ScheefDepartment of Ophthalmology, University of Rostock, D-18057 Rostock, Germany.
Vinodh KakkasseryDepartment of Ophthalmology, University of Rostock, D-18057 Rostock, Germany.
Svetlana SaakyanOcular Oncology Department, Helmholtz Moscow Research Institute of Eye Diseases, 105062 Moscow, Russia.
Alexander TsygankovOcular Oncology Department, Helmholtz Moscow Research Institute of Eye Diseases, 105062 Moscow, Russia.
Carlo MosciS.C. Oculistica Oncologica - Ocular Oncology Service, Ente ospedaliero Ospedali Galliera, 16128 Genova, Italy.
Paolo LigorioS.C. Oculistica Oncologica - Ocular Oncology Service, Ente ospedaliero Ospedali Galliera, 16128 Genova, Italy.
Silvia ViaggiDISTAV-Department of Earth, Environment and Life Sciences, University of Genoa, 16132 Genova, Italy.
Claudia H D Le GuinDepartment of Ophthalmology, University Hospital Essen, University Duisburg-Essen, 45147 Essen, Germany.
Norbert BornfeldDepartment of Ophthalmology, University Hospital Essen, University Duisburg-Essen, 45147 Essen, Germany.
Nikolaos E BechrakisDepartment of Ophthalmology, University Hospital Essen, University Duisburg-Essen, 45147 Essen, Germany.
Sarah E CouplandLiverpool Ocular Oncology Research Group, Department of Molecular and Clinical Cancer Medicine, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, L7 8TX, UK.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Uveal melanoma (UM) is fatal in ~50% of patients as a result of disseminated disease. This study aims to externally validate the Liverpool Uveal Melanoma Prognosticator Online V3 (LUMPO3) to determine its reliability in predicting survival after treatment for choroidal melanoma when utilizing external data from other ocular oncology centers. Anonymized data of 1836 UM patients from seven international ocular oncology centers were analyzed with LUMPO3 to predict the 10-year survival for each patient in each external dataset. The analysts were masked to the patient outcomes. Model predictions were sent to an independent statistician to evaluate LUMPO3's performance using discrimination and calibration methods. LUMPO3's ability to discriminate between UM patients who died of metastatic UM and those who were still alive was fair-to-good, with C-statistics ranging from 0.64 to 0.85 at year 1. The pooled estimate for all external centers was 0.72 (95% confidence interval: 0.68 to 0.75). Agreement between observed and predicted survival probabilities was generally good given differences in case mix and survival rates between different centers. Despite the differences between the international cohorts of patients with primary UM, LUMPO3 is a valuable tool for predicting all-cause mortality in this disease when using data from external centers.

Indexed as

calibrationC-statisticsdiscriminationexternal centers.eye cancerLUMPO3prognostic modelsurvival probabilitiesuveal melanoma

Identifiers

PMID32085617
PMCPMC7072188

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.