Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32084525›Full record

ArticleInternational journal of radiation oncology, biology, physics2020

Beyond an Updated Graded Prognostic Assessment (Breast GPA): A Prognostic Index and Trends in Treatment and Survival in Breast Cancer Brain Metastases From 1985 to Today.

Paul W Sperduto, Shane Mesko, Jing Li, Daniel Cagney, Ayal Aizer, Nancy U Lin, Eric Nesbit, Tim J Kruser, Jason Chan, Steve Braunstein and 29 more

Erratum issuedOpen access · greenAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in International journal of radiation oncology, biology, physics, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. An erratum has been issued. Cited by 104 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
104citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
10.1field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

104 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 142 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. SEOM-GEICAM-SOLTI clinical guidelines in advanced breast cancer (UPDATE 2025).Clinical & translational oncology : official publication of the Federation of Spanish Oncology Societies and of the National Cancer Institute of Mexico · 2026
    Guideline
  2. DEGRO guideline for personalized radiotherapy of brain metastases and leptomeningeal carcinomatosis in patients with breast cancer.Strahlentherapie und Onkologie : Organ der Deutschen Rontgengesellschaft ... [et al] · 2024
    Guideline
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  11. Chinese Society of Clinical Oncology breast cancer expert consensus on the diagnosis and treatment of breast cancer brain metastasis (2025).Translational breast cancer research : a journal focusing on translational research in breast cancer · 2026
    Review
  12. Radiotherapeutic management of brain metastases in patients with breast cancer: a narrative review.Translational breast cancer research : a journal focusing on translational research in breast cancer · 2026
    Review
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. Concurrent systemic treatment during stereotactic radiosurgery for breast cancer brain metastasis - analysis of survival outcomes and propensity score matching analysis.Reports of practical oncology and radiotherapy : journal of Greatpoland Cancer Center in Poznan and Polish Society of Radiation Oncology · 2026
    Article
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44 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

39 authors at 19 institutions in 2 countries.

Paul W SperdutoMinneapolis Radiation Oncology & University of Minnesota Gamma Knife Center, Minneapolis, Minnesota. Electronic address: psperduto@mropa.com.
Shane MeskoMD Anderson Cancer Center, Houston, Texas.
Jing LiMD Anderson Cancer Center, Houston, Texas.
Daniel CagneyDana Farber Cancer Institute, Boston, Massachusetts.
Ayal AizerDana Farber Cancer Institute, Boston, Massachusetts.
Nancy U LinDana Farber Cancer Institute, Boston, Massachusetts.
Eric NesbitNorthwestern University, Chicago, Illinois.
Tim J KruserNorthwestern University, Chicago, Illinois.
Jason ChanUniversity of California San Francisco, San Francisco, California.
Steve BraunsteinUniversity of California San Francisco, San Francisco, California.
Jessica LeeDuke University, Durham, North Carolina.
John P KirkpatrickDuke University, Durham, North Carolina.
Will BreenMayo Clinic, Rochester, Minnesota.
Paul D BrownMayo Clinic, Rochester, Minnesota.
Diana ShiMassachusetts General Hospital, Massachusetts, Boston, Massachusetts.
Helen A ShihMassachusetts General Hospital, Massachusetts, Boston, Massachusetts.
Hany SolimanSunnybrook Odette Cancer Centre, University of Toronto, Toronto, Canada.
Arjun SahgalSunnybrook Odette Cancer Centre, University of Toronto, Toronto, Canada.
Ryan ShanleyUniversity of Minnesota, Minneapolis, Minnesota.
William SperdutoDuke University, Durham, North Carolina.
Emil LouUniversity of Minnesota, Minneapolis, Minnesota.
Ashlyn EverettUniversity of Alabama Birmingham, Birmingham, Alabama.
Drexell Hunter BoggsUniversity of Alabama Birmingham, Birmingham, Alabama.
Laura MasucciCentre Hospitalier de l' Université de Montréal, Montreal, Quebec, Canada.
David RobergeCentre Hospitalier de l' Université de Montréal, Montreal, Quebec, Canada.
Jill RemickUniversity of Maryland, Maryland.
Kristin PlichtaUniversity of Iowa, Iowa City, Iowa.
John M BuattiUniversity of Iowa, Iowa City, Iowa.
Supriya JainUniversity of Colorado Denver, Denver, Colorado.
Laurie E GasparUniversity of Colorado Denver, Denver, Colorado.
Cheng-Chia WuColumbia University, New York, New York.
Tony J C WangColumbia University, New York, New York.
John BryantMiami Cancer Institute, Miami, Florida.
Michael ChuongMiami Cancer Institute, Miami, Florida.
James YuYale University, New Haven, Connecticut.
Veronica ChiangYale University, New Haven, Connecticut.
Toshimichi NakanoUniversity of Niigata, Niigata, Japan.
Hidefumi AoyamaUniversity of Niigata, Niigata, Japan.
Minesh P MehtaMiami Cancer Institute, Miami, Florida.
Dana-Farber Cancer Institute · USDuke University · USMiami Heart Research Institute · USCentre Hospitalier de l’Université de Montréal · CAColumbia University · USMassachusetts General Hospital · USMayo Clinic · USNorthwestern University · USThe University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center · USUniversity of Alabama at Birmingham · USUniversity of California, San Francisco · USUniversity of Colorado Denver · USUniversity of Iowa · USUniversity of Minnesota System · USYale University · USMinnesota Oncology · USSunnybrook Health Science Centre · CAUniversity of Maryland, College Park · USUniversity of Toronto · CA

Funding

WORD PROCESSORP30CA013330 · NCI · YESHIVA UNIVERSITY · PI THOMAS E ROHAN · 1985 to 2026
$111.2M
Yale Clinical and Translational Science Award (U Component)UL1TR001863 · NCATS · YALE UNIVERSITY · PI John H. Krystal, LUCILA OHNO-MACHADO · 2016 to 2026
$102.9M
Women's CancerP30CA077598 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF MINNESOTA TWIN CITIES · PI Douglas Yee · 1998 to 2026
$100.4M
Viral VectorP30CA086862 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF IOWA · PI Douglas Robert Spitz · 2000 to 2026
$70.0M
University of Minnesota Clinical and Translational Science Institute (UMN CTSI)UL1TR002494 · NCATS · UNIVERSITY OF MINNESOTA · PI BLAZAR, BRUCE R, WEISDORF, DANIEL J · 2018 to 2022
$34.9M
NCATS NIH HHS UL1 TR001863NCATS NIH HHS UL1 TR002494NCI NIH HHS P30 CA013330NCI NIH HHS P30 CA077598
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

purposeBrain metastases are a common sequelae of breast cancer. Survival varies widely based on diagnosis-specific prognostic factors (PF). We previously published a prognostic index (Graded Prognostic Assessment [GPA]) for patients with breast cancer with brain metastases (BCBM), based on cohort A (1985-2007, n = 642), then updated it, reporting the effect of tumor subtype in cohort B (1993-2010, n = 400). The purpose of this study is to update the Breast GPA with a larger contemporary cohort (C) and compare treatment and survival across the 3 cohorts. METHODS AND MATERIALS: A multi-institutional (19), multinational (3), retrospective database of 2473 patients with breast cancer with newly diagnosed brain metastases (BCBM) diagnosed from January 1, 2006, to December 31, 2017, was created and compared with prior cohorts. Associations of PF and treatment with survival were analyzed. Kaplan-Meier survival estimates were compared with log-rank tests. PF were weighted and the Breast GPA was updated such that a GPA of 0 and 4.0 correlate with the worst and best prognoses, respectively.

resultsMedian survival (MS) for cohorts A, B, and C improved over time (from 11, to 14 to 16 months, respectively; P < .01), despite the subtype distribution becoming less favorable. PF significant for survival were tumor subtype, Karnofsky Performance Status, age, number of BCBMs, and extracranial metastases (all P < .01). MS for GPA 0 to 1.0, 1.5-2.0, 2.5-3.0, and 3.5-4.0 was 6, 13, 24, and 36 months, respectively. Between cohorts B and C, the proportion of human epidermal receptor 2 + subtype decreased from 31% to 18% (P < .01) and MS in this subtype increased from 18 to 25 months (P < .01).

conclusionsMS has improved modestly but varies widely by diagnosis-specific PF. New PF are identified and incorporated into an updated Breast GPA (free online calculator available at brainmetgpa.com). The Breast GPA facilitates clinical decision-making and will be useful for stratification of future clinical trials. Furthermore, these data suggest human epidermal receptor 2-targeted therapies improve clinical outcomes in some patients with BCBM.

Indexed as

AgedAged, 80 and overBrain NeoplasmsBRCA1 ProteinBreast NeoplasmsFemaleHumansMiddle AgedPrognosisRetrospective StudiesSurvival AnalysisBRCA1 Protein

Identifiers

PMID32084525
PMCPMC7276246
OpenAlexW3008013335

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.