ArticleBMC endocrine disorders2020
Clinical and biochemical factors to predict biochemical adrenal insufficiency in hospitalized patients with indeterminate cortisol levels: a retrospective study.
Article in BMC endocrine disorders, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.
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Abstract
backgroundAdrenal insufficiency (AI) in hospitalized patients is a fatal condition if left undiagnosed. Most patients may require an adrenocorticotropic hormone (ACTH) stimulation test to facilitate AI diagnosis. We aim to identify simple biochemical and clinical factors and derive a predictive model to help identify hospitalized patients with biochemical AI who have indeterminate 0800 h serum cortisol levels.
methodsA seven-year retrospective study was performed in a tertiary care medical center. We identified 128 inpatients who had undergone low-dose or high-dose ACTH stimulation tests. The association between biochemical AI and other factors was evaluated using a logistic regression model clustering by ACTH dose. Stepwise regression analysis was used to demonstrate the predictive model. Diagnostic performance was evaluated using ROC analysis.
resultsOf the 128 patients, 28.1% had biochemical AI. The factors associated with biochemical AI were serum random cortisol < 10 μg/dL (OR = 8.69, p < 0.001), cholesterol < 150 mg/dL (OR = 2.64, p = 0.003), sodium < 140 mmol/L (OR = 1.73, p = 0.004)). Among clinical factors, cirrhosis (OR = 9.05, p < 0.001), Cushingoid appearance in those with exogenous steroid use (OR = 8.56, p < 0.001), and chronic kidney disease (OR = 2.21, p < 0.001) were significantly linked to biochemical AI. The AUC-ROC of the final model incorporating all factors was 83%.
conclusionsThese easy-to-perform biochemical tests and easy-to-assess clinical factors could help predict biochemical AI in hospitalized patients with high accuracy. The physician should therefore have a high index of suspicion to perform dynamic tests for AI diagnosis in those who meet the proposed model criteria.
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