Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32066377›Full record

ArticleBMC family practice2020

Multimorbidity as a predictor of health service utilization in primary care: a registry-based study of the Catalan population.

D Monterde, E Vela, M Clèries, L Garcia-Eroles, J Roca, P Pérez-Sust

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMC family practice, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 45 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
45citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
9.0field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

45 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 105 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors at 4 institutions in 1 country.

D MonterdeSistemes d'Informació, Institut Català de la Salut, Barcelona, Catalonia, Spain.
E VelaUnitat d'informació i Coneixement, Servei Català de la Salut, Barcelona, Spain.
M ClèriesUnitat d'informació i Coneixement, Servei Català de la Salut, Barcelona, Spain.
L Garcia-ErolesGerència de Sistemes d'informació, Servei Català de la Salut, Barcelona, Spain.
J RocaHospital Clinic de Barcelona, Institut d'Investigacions Biomèdiques August Pi i Sunyer (IDIBAPS), CIBERES, Universitat de Barcelona, Villarroel, 170, 08036, Barcelona, Spain. jroca@clinic.cat.ORCID 0000-0003-4768-8722
P Pérez-SustSistemes d'Informació, Institut Català de la Salut, Barcelona, Catalonia, Spain.
Servei de Salut de les Illes Balears · ESCentro de Investigación Biomédica en Red de Enfermedades Respiratorias · ESGeneralitat de Catalunya · ESInstitut Català de la Salut · ES

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundMultimorbidity is highly relevant for both service commissioning and clinical decision-making. Optimization of variables assessing multimorbidity in order to enhance chronic care management is an unmet need. To this end, we have explored the contribution of multimorbidity to predict use of healthcare resources at community level by comparing the predictive power of four different multimorbidity measures.

methodsA population health study including all citizens ≥18 years (n = 6,102,595) living in Catalonia (ES) on 31 December 2014 was done using registry data. Primary care service utilization during 2015 was evaluated through four outcome variables: A) Frequent attendants, B) Home care users, C) Social worker users, and, D) Polypharmacy. Prediction of the four outcome variables (A to D) was carried out with and without multimorbidity assessment. We compared the contributions to model fitting of the following multimorbidity measures: i) Charlson index; ii) Number of chronic diseases; iii) Clinical Risk Groups (CRG); and iv) Adjusted Morbidity Groups (GMA).

resultsThe discrimination of the models (AUC) increased by including multimorbidity as covariate into the models, namely: A) Frequent attendants (0.771 vs 0.853), B) Home care users (0.862 vs 0.890), C) Social worker users (0.809 vs 0.872), and, D) Polypharmacy (0.835 vs 0.912). GMA showed the highest predictive power for all outcomes except for polypharmacy where it was slightly below than CRG.

conclusionsWe confirmed that multimorbidity assessment enhanced prediction of use of healthcare resources at community level. The Catalan population-based risk assessment tool based on GMA presented the best combination of predictive power and applicability.

Indexed as

MultimorbidityPolypharmacyAdultAgedFemaleHealth ServicesHome Care ServicesHumansMaleMiddle AgedMultiple Chronic ConditionsPrimary Health CareRegistriesRisk FactorsSocial WorkSpainChronic careComorbidityHealth service utilizationPrimary careRisk assessment

Identifiers

PMID32066377
PMCPMC7026948
OpenAlexW3008420520

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.