Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32060534›Full record

ArticleClinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America2021

Modeling Combination Hepatitis C Virus Treatment and Prevention Strategies in a Network of People Who Inject Drugs in the United States.

Alexei Zelenev, Jianghong Li, Portia Shea, Robert Hecht, Frederick L Altice

Open access · greenAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 18 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
18citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
1.0field-weighted citation impact, top 25% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

18 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 20 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. A Review of Network Models for HIV Spread.Journal of acquired immune deficiency syndromes (1999) · 2025
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  14. A pilot sentinel surveillance system to monitor treatment and treatment outcomes of chronic hepatitis B and C infections in clinical centres in three European countries, 2019.Euro surveillance : bulletin Europeen sur les maladies transmissibles = European communicable disease bulletin · 2023
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors at 2 institutions in 2 countries.

Alexei ZelenevAIDS Program, Section of Infectious Diseases, Department of Internal Medicine, Yale School of Medicine, New Haven, Connecticut, USA.
Jianghong LiInstitute for Community Research, Hartford, Connecticut, USA.
Portia SheaAIDS Program, Section of Infectious Diseases, Department of Internal Medicine, Yale School of Medicine, New Haven, Connecticut, USA.
Robert HechtDepartment of Epidemiology of Microbial Diseases, Yale School of Public Health, New Haven, Connecticut, USA.
Frederick L AlticeAIDS Program, Section of Infectious Diseases, Department of Internal Medicine, Yale School of Medicine, New Haven, Connecticut, USA.
Yale University · USInstitute For Community Research · US

Funding

Yale Clinical and Translational Science Award (U Component)UL1TR001863 · NCATS · YALE UNIVERSITY · PI John H. Krystal, LUCILA OHNO-MACHADO · 2016 to 2026
$102.9M
YALE BIOMEDICAL SUPERCOMPUTER: NEUROSCIENCES10RR019895 · NCRR · YALE UNIVERSITY · PI WILLIAMS, KENNETH ROBERT · 2004 to 2004
$1.6M
IDU Peer Recruitment Dynamics and Network Structure in Respondent Driven SamplingR01DA031594 · NIDA · INSTITUTE FOR COMMUNITY RESEARCH · PI LI, JIANGHONG · 2011 to 2013
$1.6M
Enhancing Health Outcomes Among HIV+ Substance AbusersK24DA017072 · NIDA · YALE UNIVERSITY · PI ALTICE, FREDERICK LEWIS · 2003 to 2012
$1.5M
Modeling HIV & Substance Abuse: Correcting Sampling Bias and Cost EffectivenessK01DA037826 · NIDA · YALE UNIVERSITY · PI ZELENEV, ALEXEI · 2014 to 2018
$838k
High Performance Computing Instrumentation for Yale University Biomedical HPC CenS10RR029676 · NCRR · YALE UNIVERSITY · PI BJORNSON, ROBERT DEAN · 2011 to 2011
$588k
Modeling HCV/HIV transmission and Treatment as Prevention in U.S. Networks of People Who Inject DrugsR21DA041953 · NIDA · YALE UNIVERSITY · PI ALTICE, FREDERICK LEWIS · 2016 to 2017
$480k
NCATS NIH HHS UL1 TR001863NCRR NIH HHS S10 RR019895NCRR NIH HHS S10 RR029676NIDA NIH HHS K01 DA037826NIDA NIH HHS K24 DA017072NIDA NIH HHS R01 DA031594NIDA NIH HHS R21 DA041953
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundHepatitis C virus (HCV) treatment as prevention (TasP) strategies can contribute to HCV microelimination, yet complimentary interventions such as opioid agonist therapies (OAT) with methadone or buprenorphine and syringe services programs (SSPs) may improve the prevention impact. This modeling study estimates the impact of scaling up the combination of OAT and SSPs with HCV TasP in a network of people who inject drugs (PWID) in the United States.

methodsUsing empirical data from Hartford, Connecticut, we deployed a stochastic block model to simulate an injection network of 1574 PWID. We used a susceptible-infected model for HCV and human immunodeficiency virus to evaluate the effectiveness of several HCV TasP strategies, including in combination with OAT and SSP scale-up, over 20 years.

resultsAt the highest HCV prevalence (75%), when OAT coverage is increased from 10% to 40%, combined with HCV treatment of 10% per year and SSP scale up to 40%, the time to achieve microelimination is reduced from 18.4 to 11.6 years. At the current HCV prevalence (60%), HCV TasP strategies as low as 10% coverage per year may achieve HCV microelimination within 10 years, with minimal impact from additional OAT scale-up. Strategies based on mass initial HCV treatment (50 per 100 PWID the first year followed by 5 per 100 PWID thereafter) were most effective in settings with HCV prevalence of 60% or lower.

conclusionsScale-up of HCV TasP is the most effective strategy for microelimination of HCV. OAT scale-up, however, scale-up may be synergistic toward achieving microelimination goals when HCV prevalence exceeds 60% and when HCV treatment coverage is 10 per 100 PWID per year or lower.

Indexed as

Hepatitis CPharmaceutical PreparationsSubstance Abuse, IntravenousAntiviral AgentsConnecticutHepacivirusHumansUnited StatesAntiviral AgentsPharmaceutical PreparationsHCV treatmentinjection networksopioid agonist therapiespeople who inject drugssyringe service program

Identifiers

PMID32060534
PMCPMC7935393
OpenAlexW3005839167

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.