ArticleEpidemiology and infection2020
Epidemiological features and time-series analysis of influenza incidence in urban and rural areas of Shenyang, China, 2010-2018.
Article in Epidemiology and infection, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 37 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.
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Who cites it
37 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.
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- Impact of meteorological factors on influenza incidence in Wuxi from 2014 to 2019: a time series and comprehensive analysis.Frontiers in public health · 2025Article
- Quantitative assessment of Public Health and Social Measures implementation and relaxation on influenza transmission during COVID-19 in China: SEIABR and GBDT models.Journal of global health · 2024Article
- Viral etiology of febrile respiratory syndrome among patients in Liaoning Province, China.BMC infectious diseases · 2024Article
- Role of vitamin D in COVID-19 and other viral infections.World journal of virology · 2024Review
- Impact of the COVID-19 Pandemic on the Incidence of Notifiable Infectious Diseases in China Based on SARIMA Models Between 2013 and 2021.Journal of epidemiology and global health · 2024Article
- Developing a Research Network of Early Warning Systems for Infectious Diseases Transmission Between China and Australia.China CDC weekly · 2024Article
- Seasonality of influenza-like illness and short-term forecasting model in Chongqing from 2010 to 2022.BMC infectious diseases · 2024Article
- Epidemiological Features of Infectious Diseases in Children and Adolescents: A Population-Based Observational Study in Shandong Province, China, 2013-2017.Children (Basel, Switzerland) · 2024Article
- Epidemiological features of seasonal influenza transmission among 11 climate zones in Chinese Mainland.Infectious diseases of poverty · 2024Article
- Widening rural-urban gap in life expectancy in China since COVID-19.BMJ global health · 2023Article
- An Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average Model for Predicting Varicella Outbreaks - China, 2019.China CDC weekly · 2023Article
- The role of vitamin D receptor and IL-6 in COVID-19.Molecular genetics & genomic medicine · 2023Article
- Forecasting waved daily COVID-19 death count series with a novel combination of segmented Poisson model and ARIMA models.Journal of applied statistics · 2023Article
- The Efficacious Benefit of 25-Hydroxy Vitamin D to Prevent COVID-19: An In-Silico Study Targeting SARS-CoV-2 Spike Protein.Nutrients · 2022Article
- Hospitalization of Children Aged <5 Years Due to Influenza: Study Based on the National Hospitalization RegistryChildren (Basel, Switzerland) · 2022Article
- Analyzing and forecasting COVID-19 pandemic in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia using ARIMA and SIR models.Computational intelligence · 2022Article
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12 authors.
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Abstract
In recent years, there have been a significant influenza activity and emerging influenza strains in China, resulting in an increasing number of influenza virus infections and leading to public health concerns. The aims of this study were to identify the epidemiological and aetiological characteristics of influenza and establish seasonal autoregressive integrated moving average (SARIMA) models for forecasting the percentage of visits for influenza-like illness (ILI%) in urban and rural areas of Shenyang. Influenza surveillance data were obtained for ILI cases and influenza virus positivity from 18 sentinel hospitals. The SARIMA models were constructed to predict ILI% for January-December 2019. During 2010-2018, the influenza activity was higher in urban than in rural areas. The age distribution of ILI cases showed the highest rate in young children aged 0-4 years. Seasonal A/H3N2, influenza B virus and pandemic A/H1N1 continuously co-circulated in winter and spring seasons. In addition, the SARIMA (0, 1, 0) (0, 1, 2)12 model for the urban area and the SARIMA (1, 1, 1) (1, 1, 0)12 model for the rural area were appropriate for predicting influenza incidence. Our findings suggested that there were regional and seasonal distinctions of ILI activity in Shenyang. A co-epidemic pattern of influenza strains was evident in terms of seasonal influenza activity. Young children were more susceptible to influenza virus infection than adults. These results provide a reference for future influenza prevention and control strategies in the study area.
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