Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32053591›Full record

ArticlePloS one2020

Impacts of climate change on high priority fruit fly species in Australia.

Sabira Sultana, John B Baumgartner, Bernard C Dominiak, Jane E Royer, Linda J Beaumont

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in PloS one, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 21 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
21citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

21 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. The shibireInsect science · 2026
    Article
  3. Article
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  5. Article
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  7. Review
  8. Prediction of potential distributions ofEcology and evolution · 2024
    Article
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  11. Article
  12. Review
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  15. Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Sabira SultanaDepartment of Biological Sciences, Macquarie University, North Ryde, New South Wales, Australia.ORCID 0000-0001-9794-1410
John B BaumgartnerDepartment of Biological Sciences, Macquarie University, North Ryde, New South Wales, Australia.
Bernard C DominiakNew South Wales Department of Primary Industries, Orange, New South Wales, Australia.
Jane E RoyerQueensland Department of Agriculture and Fisheries, Biosecurity Queensland, Brisbane, Queensland, Australia.
Linda J BeaumontDepartment of Biological Sciences, Macquarie University, North Ryde, New South Wales, Australia.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Tephritid fruit flies are among the most destructive horticultural pests posing risks to Australia's multi-billion-dollar horticulture industry. Currently, there are 11 pest fruit fly species of economic concern in Australia. Of these, nine are native to this continent (Bactrocera aquilonis, B. bryoniae, B. halfordiae, B. jarvisi, B. kraussi, B. musae, B. neohumeralis, B. tryoni and Zeugodacus cucumis), while B. frauenfeldi and Ceratitis capitata are introduced. To varying degrees these species are costly to Australia's horticulture through in-farm management, monitoring to demonstrate pest freedom, quarantine and trade restrictions, and crop losses. Here, we used a common species distribution model, Maxent, to assess climate suitability for these 11 species under baseline (1960-1990) and future climate scenarios for Australia. Projections indicate that the Wet Tropics is likely to be vulnerable to all 11 species until at least 2070, with the east coast of Australia also likely to remain vulnerable to multiple species. While the Cape York Peninsula and Northern Territory are projected to have suitable climate for numerous species, extrapolation to novel climates in these areas decreases confidence in model projections. The climate suitability of major horticulture areas currently in eastern Queensland, southern-central New South Wales and southern Victoria to these pests may increase as climate changes. By highlighting areas at risk of pest range expansion in the future our study may guide Australia's horticulture industry in developing effective monitoring and management strategies.

Indexed as

Animal DistributionClimate ChangeModels, StatisticalTephritidaeAnimalsAustraliaEcological Parameter MonitoringGeographyHorticulturePest ControlSeasonsSpatial AnalysisTemperature

Identifiers

PMID32053591
PMCPMC7018044

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.