ArticleAnnals of surgical treatment and research2020
Prediction of postoperative pancreatic fistula using a nomogram based on the updated definition.
Article in Annals of surgical treatment and research, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 11 papers.
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11 citing papers in PubMed, 20 citations in OpenAlex.
- External validation of the original, alternative, updated alternative, and auditing Fistula Risk Score for the prediction of post-operative pancreatic fistula after minimally invasive and open pancreatoduodenectomy.Surgical endoscopy · 2026Article
- Development and validation of a predictive nomogram for sepsis-associated severe anemia.The Journal of international medical research · 2025Article
- Risk stratification of postoperative pancreatic fistula and other complications following pancreatoduodenectomy. How far are we? A scoping review.Langenbeck's archives of surgery · 2025Article
- Optimizing prediction models for pancreatic fistula after pancreatectomy: Current status and future perspectives.World journal of gastroenterology · 2024Review
- Utility of fistula risk score in assessing the risk of postoperative pancreatic fistula occurrence and other significant complications after different types of pancreatic neuroendocrine tumor resections.Annals of surgical treatment and research · 2022Article
- Personal predictive model based on systemic inflammation markers for estimation of postoperative pancreatic fistula following pancreaticoduodenectomy.World journal of gastrointestinal surgery · 2022Article
- Perioperative risk of pancreatic head resection-nomogram-based prediction of severe postoperative complications as a decisional aid for clinical practice.Langenbeck's archives of surgery · 2022Article
- A reinforced suture method for stapled gastrointestinal anastomosis to reduce gastrointestinal hemorrhage during Whipple operation in laparoscopy.Annals of surgical treatment and research · 2022Article
- The comparation of short-term outcome between laparoscopic and open pancreaticoduodenectomy: a propensity score matching analysis.Updates in surgery · 2021Article
- Nomogram for predicting overall survival in children with neuroblastoma based on SEER database.Annals of surgical treatment and research · 2020Article
- Next-Generation Sequencing Characterizes the Landscape of Somatic Mutations and Pathways in Metastatic Bile Tract Carcinoma.Journal of oncology · 2020Article
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Authors and funding
11 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.
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No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
purposeThe International Study Group on Pancreatic Fistula's definition of postoperative pancreatic fistula (POPF) has recently been updated. This study aimed to identify risk factors for POPF in patients having pancreaticoduodenectomy (PD) and to generate a nomogram to predict POPF.
methodsData on 298 patients who underwent PD from March 2012 to October 2017 was retrospectively reviewed and POPF statuses were redefined. A nomogram was constructed using data from 220 patients and validated using the remaining 78 patients. Independent risk factors for POPF were identified using univariate and multivariate analyses. A predictive nomogram was established based on the independent risk factors and was compared with existing models.
resultsTexture of the pancreas, size of the main pancreatic duct, portal vein invasion, and definitive pathology were the identified risk factors. The nomogram had a C-index of 0.793 and was internally validated. The nomogram performed better (C-index of 0.816) than the other most cited models (C-indexes of 0.728 and 0.735) in the validation cohort. In addition, the nomogram can assign patients into low- (less than 10%), intermediate- (10% to 30%), and high-risk (equal or higher than 30%) groups to facilitate personalized management.
conclusionThe nomogram accurately predicted POPF in patients having PD.
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