Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32045423›Full record

ArticlePLoS computational biology2020

Leveraging effect size distributions to improve polygenic risk scores derived from summary statistics of genome-wide association studies.

Shuang Song, Wei Jiang, Lin Hou, Hongyu Zhao

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in PLoS computational biology, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 25 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
25citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

25 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Shuang SongCenter for Statistical Science, Tsinghua University, Beijing, China.ORCID 0000-0002-1903-090X
Wei JiangDepartment of Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Yale University, New Haven, Connecticut, United States of America.ORCID 0000-0001-6120-5278
Lin HouCenter for Statistical Science, Tsinghua University, Beijing, China.ORCID 0000-0002-4283-8501
Hongyu ZhaoDepartment of Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Yale University, New Haven, Connecticut, United States of America.

Funding

Yale Clinical and Translational Science Award (U Component)UL1TR001863 · NCATS · YALE UNIVERSITY · PI John H. Krystal, LUCILA OHNO-MACHADO · 2016 to 2026
$102.9M
Yale Study Support Suite (YES3): Dashboard and Web Portal Software Supporting Research Workflow through integrated, customizable REDCap External ModulesP30AG021342 · NIA · YALE UNIVERSITY · PI Albert C Shaw · 2002 to 2026
$37.9M
Methamphetamine and Other Substance Use Disorder Genetics in ThailandR01DA037974 · NIDA · YALE UNIVERSITY · PI JOEL GELERNTER, Marc N Potenza · 2015 to 2026
$6.7M
Statistical Models for Genetic Studies, Using Network and Integrative AnalysisR01GM122078 · NIGMS · OHIO STATE UNIVERSITY · PI CHUNG, DONGJUN · 2016 to 2020
$1.9M
NCATS NIH HHS UL1 TR001863NIA NIH HHS P30 AG021342NIDA NIH HHS R01 DA037974NIGMS NIH HHS R01 GM122078Wellcome Trust
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Genetic risk prediction is an important problem in human genetics, and accurate prediction can facilitate disease prevention and treatment. Calculating polygenic risk score (PRS) has become widely used due to its simplicity and effectiveness, where only summary statistics from genome-wide association studies are needed in the standard method. Recently, several methods have been proposed to improve standard PRS by utilizing external information, such as linkage disequilibrium and functional annotations. In this paper, we introduce EB-PRS, a novel method that leverages information for effect sizes across all the markers to improve prediction accuracy. Compared to most existing genetic risk prediction methods, our method does not need to tune parameters nor external information. Real data applications on six diseases, including asthma, breast cancer, celiac disease, Crohn's disease, Parkinson's disease and type 2 diabetes show that EB-PRS achieved 307.1%, 42.8%, 25.5%, 3.1%, 74.3% and 49.6% relative improvements in terms of predictive r2 over standard PRS method with optimally tuned parameters. Besides, compared to LDpred that makes use of LD information, EB-PRS also achieved 37.9%, 33.6%, 8.6%, 36.2%, 40.6% and 10.8% relative improvements. We note that our method is not the first method leveraging effect size distributions. Here we first justify our method by presenting theoretical optimal property over existing methods in this class of methods, and substantiate our theoretical result with extensive simulation results. The R-package EBPRS that implements our method is available on CRAN.

Indexed as

Computational BiologyGenetic Predisposition to DiseaseMultifactorial InheritanceComputer SimulationFemaleGenome-Wide Association StudyHumansLinkage DisequilibriumMaleSoftware

Identifiers

PMID32045423
PMCPMC7039528

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.