Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32043733›Full record

ArticleAlzheimer's & dementia : the journal of the Alzheimer's Association2020

Predicting sporadic Alzheimer's disease progression via inherited Alzheimer's disease-informed machine-learning.

Nicolai Franzmeier, Nikolaos Koutsouleris, Tammie Benzinger, Alison Goate, Celeste M Karch, Anne M Fagan, Eric McDade, Marco Duering, Martin Dichgans, Johannes Levin and 16 more

Open access · hybridAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Alzheimer's & dementia : the journal of the Alzheimer's Association, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 37 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
37citing papers in PubMed
7.6field-weighted citation impact, top 2% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

37 citing papers in PubMed, 73 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Trial
  2. Article
  3. Enhancing early Alzheimer's disease clinical trials through prognostic score covariate adjustment.Alzheimer's & dementia : the journal of the Alzheimer's Association · 2026
    Article
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  7. Review
  8. Brain Atrophy Does Not Predict Clinical Progression in Progressive Supranuclear Palsy.Movement disorders : official journal of the Movement Disorder Society · 2025
    Article
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  11. Review
  12. Article
  13. Article
  14. Review
  15. Predicting clinical progression trajectories of early Alzheimer's disease patients.Alzheimer's & dementia : the journal of the Alzheimer's Association · 2024
    Article
  16. Article
  17. Review
  18. Article
  19. Article
  20. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

26 authors at 10 institutions in 4 countries.

Nicolai FranzmeierInstitute for Stroke and Dementia Research, Klinikum der Universität München, Ludwig-Maximilians-Universität LMU, Munich, Germany.ORCID 0000-0001-9736-2283
Nikolaos KoutsoulerisDepartment of Psychiatry and Psychotherapy, Ludwig-Maximilians-Universität LMU, Munich, Germany.
Tammie BenzingerDepartment of Radiology, Washington University in St. Louis, St. Louis, Missouri, USA.
Alison GoateDepartment of Genetics and Genomic Sciences, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, New York, USA.
Celeste M KarchKnight Alzheimer's Disease Research Center, Washington University in St. Louis, St. Louis, Missouri, USA.
Anne M FaganKnight Alzheimer's Disease Research Center, Washington University in St. Louis, St. Louis, Missouri, USA.
Eric McDadeKnight Alzheimer's Disease Research Center, Washington University in St. Louis, St. Louis, Missouri, USA.
Marco DueringInstitute for Stroke and Dementia Research, Klinikum der Universität München, Ludwig-Maximilians-Universität LMU, Munich, Germany.
Martin DichgansInstitute for Stroke and Dementia Research, Klinikum der Universität München, Ludwig-Maximilians-Universität LMU, Munich, Germany.
Johannes LevinMunich Cluster for Systems Neurology, Munich, Germany.
Brian A GordonKnight Alzheimer's Disease Research Center, Washington University in St. Louis, St. Louis, Missouri, USA.
Yen Ying LimThe Florey Institute, The University of Melbourne, Parkville, Victoria, Australia.
Colin L MastersThe Florey Institute, The University of Melbourne, Parkville, Victoria, Australia.
Martin RossorDementia Research Centre, University College London, Queen Square, London, UK.
Nick C FoxDementia Research Centre, University College London, Queen Square, London, UK.
Antoinette O'ConnorDementia Research Centre, University College London, Queen Square, London, UK.
Jasmeer ChhatwalMassachusetts General Hospital, Department of Neurology, Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.
Stephen SallowayDepartment of Neurology, Warren Alpert Medical School of Brown University, Providence, Rhode Island, USA.
Adrian DanekDepartment of Neurology, Ludwig-Maximilians-Universität München, Munich, Germany.
Jason HassenstabKnight Alzheimer's Disease Research Center, Washington University in St. Louis, St. Louis, Missouri, USA.
Peter R SchofieldNeuroscience Research Australia, Randwick, New South Wales, Australia.
John C MorrisKnight Alzheimer's Disease Research Center, Washington University in St. Louis, St. Louis, Missouri, USA.
Randall J BatemanKnight Alzheimer's Disease Research Center, Washington University in St. Louis, St. Louis, Missouri, USA.
Alzheimer's disease neuroimaging initiative (ADNI)ADNI Consortium members are listed in the appendix.
Dominantly Inherited Alzheimer Network (DIAN)DIAN Consortium members are listed in the appendix.
Michael EwersInstitute for Stroke and Dementia Research, Klinikum der Universität München, Ludwig-Maximilians-Universität LMU, Munich, Germany.ORCID 0000-0001-5231-1714
Washington University in St. Louis · USLudwig-Maximilians-Universität München · DEUK Dementia Research Institute · GBGerman Center for Neurodegenerative Diseases · DEThe University of Melbourne · AUAreté Associates (United States) · USBrown University · USHarvard University · USIcahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai · USUNSW Sydney · AU

Funding

Project 1U19AG024904 · NIA · NORTHERN CALIFORNIA INSTITUTE/RES/EDU · PI MICHAEL W WEINER · 2016 to 2026
$226.7M
Alzheimer's Disease Neuroimaging Initiative - SupplementU01AG024904 · NIA · NORTHERN CALIFORNIA INSTITUTE RES &EDUC · PI WEINER, MICHAEL W · 2004 to 2015
$121.0M
Imaging CoreU19AG032438 · NIA · WASHINGTON UNIVERSITY · PI BATEMAN, RANDALL J · 2010 to 2025
$53.9M
Dominantly Inherited Alzheimer NetworkUF1AG032438 · NIA · WASHINGTON UNIVERSITY · PI BATEMAN, RANDALL J · 2014 to 2017
$21.6M
Neuroimaging Markers of Emerging Dysfunction In Preclinical Alzheimer DiseaseK01AG053474 · NIA · WASHINGTON UNIVERSITY · PI GORDON, BRIAN ANDREW · 2017 to 2021
$623k
NIA NIH HHS K01 AG053474NIA NIH HHS U01 AG024904NIA NIH HHS U19 AG024904NIA NIH HHS U19 AG032438NIA NIH HHS UF1 AG032438
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

introductionDeveloping cross-validated multi-biomarker models for the prediction of the rate of cognitive decline in Alzheimer's disease (AD) is a critical yet unmet clinical challenge.

methodsWe applied support vector regression to AD biomarkers derived from cerebrospinal fluid, structural magnetic resonance imaging (MRI), amyloid-PET and fluorodeoxyglucose positron-emission tomography (FDG-PET) to predict rates of cognitive decline. Prediction models were trained in autosomal-dominant Alzheimer's disease (ADAD, n = 121) and subsequently cross-validated in sporadic prodromal AD (n = 216). The sample size needed to detect treatment effects when using model-based risk enrichment was estimated.

resultsA model combining all biomarker modalities and established in ADAD predicted the 4-year rate of decline in global cognition (R DISCUSSION: Our independently validated machine-learning model predicted cognitive decline in sporadic prodromal AD and may substantially reduce sample size needed in clinical trials in AD.

Indexed as

Alzheimer DiseaseCognitive DysfunctionDisease ProgressionMachine LearningAdultBiomarkersFemaleHumansMagnetic Resonance ImagingMalePositron-Emission TomographyBiomarkersAlzheimer's diseaseautosomal-dominant Alzheimer's diseasebiomarkersmachine learningMRIPETprogression predictionrisk enrichment

Identifiers

PMID32043733
PMCPMC7222030
OpenAlexW3005937372

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.