Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32042155›Full record

ArticleNature plants2020

Climate warming disrupts mast seeding and its fitness benefits in European beech.

Michał Bogdziewicz, Dave Kelly, Peter A Thomas, Jonathan G A Lageard, Andrew Hacket-Pain

Abstract read
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In one paragraph

Article in Nature plants, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 50 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
50citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

50 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Global patterns in the predator satiation effect of masting: A meta-analysis.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2022
    Pooled it
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  5. European beech reproduction is not reduced by drought, including the 2003, 2018, and 2022 extremes.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2026
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  17. Growth decline in European beech associated with temperature-driven increase in reproductive allocation.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2025
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Michał BogdziewiczDepartment of Systematic Zoology, Faculty of Biology, Adam Mickiewicz University, Poznan, Poland. michalbogdziewicz@gmail.com.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-6777-9034
Dave KellyCentre for Integrative Ecology, School of Biological Sciences, University of Canterbury, Christchurch, New Zealand.
Peter A ThomasSchool of Life Sciences, Keele University, Staffordshire, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-3115-3301
Jonathan G A LageardDepartment of Natural Sciences, Manchester Metropolitan University, Manchester, UK.
Andrew Hacket-PainDepartment of Geography and Planning, School of Environmental Sciences, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-3676-1568

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Many plants benefit from synchronous year-to-year variation in seed production, called masting. Masting benefits plants because it increases the efficiency of pollination and satiates predators, which reduces seed loss. Here, using a 39-year-long dataset, we show that climate warming over recent decades has increased seed production of European beech but decreased the year-to-year variability of seed production and the reproductive synchrony among individuals. Consequently, the benefit that the plants gained from masting has declined. While climate warming was associated with increased reproductive effort, we demonstrate that less effective pollination and greater losses of seeds to predators offset any benefits to the plants. This shows that an apparently simple benefit of climate warming unravels because of complex ecological interactions. Our results indicate that in masting systems, the main beneficiaries of climate-driven increases in seed production are seed predators, not plants.

Indexed as

Genetic FitnessGlobal WarmingClimate ChangeEnglandFagusNuts

Identifiers

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.