Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32041768›Full record

ArticleThe British journal of general practice : the journal of the Royal College of General Practitioners2020

Prognostic value of first-recorded breathlessness for future chronic respiratory and heart disease: a cohort study using a UK national primary care database.

Ying Chen, Richard Hayward, Carolyn A Chew-Graham, Richard Hubbard, Peter Croft, Keith Sims, Kelvin P Jordan

Open access · bronzeAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in The British journal of general practice : the journal of the Royal College of General Practitioners, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 8 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
8citing papers in PubMed
0.8field-weighted citation impact, top 25% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

8 citing papers in PubMed, 11 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors at 1 institution in 1 country.

Ying ChenSchool of Primary, Community and Social Care, Centre for Prognosis Research, Keele University, Keele.
Richard HaywardSchool of Primary, Community and Social Care, Centre for Prognosis Research, Keele University, Keele.
Carolyn A Chew-GrahamSchool of Primary, Community and Social Care, Centre for Prognosis Research, Keele University, Keele.
Richard HubbardDivision of Epidemiology and Public Health, School of Medicine, University of Nottingham, Nottingham.
Peter CroftSchool of Primary, Community and Social Care, Centre for Prognosis Research, Keele University, Keele.
Keith SimsNorth Staffordshire Branch, Staffordshire.
Kelvin P JordanSchool of Primary, Community and Social Care, Centre for Prognosis Research, Keele University, Keele.
University of Nottingham · GB

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundBreathlessness is a common presentation in primary care.

aimTo assess the long-term risk of diagnosed chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), asthma, ischaemic heart disease (IHD), and early mortality in patients with undiagnosed breathlessness. DESIGN AND

settingMatched cohort study using data from the UK Clinical Practice Research Datalink.

methodAdults with first-recorded breathlessness between 1997 and 2010 and no prior diagnostic or prescription record for IHD or a respiratory disease ('exposed' cohort) were matched to individuals with no record of breathlessness ('unexposed' cohort). Analyses were adjusted for sociodemographic and comorbidity characteristics.

resultsIn total, 75 698 patients (the exposed cohort) were followed for a median of 6.1 years, and more than one-third subsequently received a diagnosis of COPD, asthma, or IHD. In those who remained undiagnosed after 6 months, there were increased long-term risks of all three diagnoses compared with those in the unexposed cohort. Adjusted hazard ratios for COPD ranged from 8.6 (95% confidence interval [CI] = 6.8 to 11.0) for >6-12 months after the index date to 2.8 (95% CI = 2.6 to 3.0) for >36 months after the index date; asthma, 11.7 (CI = 9.4 to 14.6) to 4.3 (CI = 3.9 to 4.6); and IHD, 3.0 (CI = 2.7 to 3.4) to 1.6 (CI = 1.5 to 1.7). Risk of a longer time to diagnosis remained higher in members of the exposed cohort who had no relevant prescription in the first 6 months; approximately half of all future diagnoses were made for such patients. Risk of early mortality (all cause and disease specific) was higher in members of the exposed cohort.

conclusionBreathlessness can be an indicator of developing COPD, asthma, and IHD, and is associated with early mortality. With careful assessment, appropriate intervention, and proactive follow-up and monitoring, there is the potential to improve identification at first presentation in primary care in those at high risk of future disease who present with this symptom.

Indexed as

Primary Health CareAdolescentAdultAgedAsthmaCohort StudiesDatabases, FactualDyspneaFemaleHumansIncidenceMaleMiddle AgedMyocardial IschemiaPrognosisPulmonary Disease, Chronic Obstructiveasthmadyspnoeaelectronic health recordsgeneral practiceheart diseaserespiratory disease

Identifiers

PMID32041768
PMCPMC7015162
OpenAlexW3004535727

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.