ArticleFrontiers in psychology2019
Analysis of World Championship Swimmers Using a Performance Progression Model.
Article in Frontiers in psychology, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 10 papers.
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Who cites it
10 citing papers in PubMed.
- Anthropometrics, physical fitness, and sport-specific performance of young German canoe sprint athletes (U13-U17) to predict senior performance level: a machine-learning approach.Scientific reports · 2026Article
- Talent Identification: Time to Move Forward on Estimation of Potentials? Proposed Explanations and Promising Methods.Sports medicine (Auckland, N.Z.) · 2025Review
- Specializing When It Counts: Comparing the Dose-Time Effect of Distance Variety between Swimming and Track Running.Sports (Basel, Switzerland) · 2024Article
- Early Specialization and Progress of Finalist Swimmers in World Championships and Olympic Games.Journal of functional morphology and kinesiology · 2024Article
- Article
- The importance of previous season performance on world-class 200- and 400-m individual medley swimming.Biology of sport · 2022Article
- Swimming World Championships: Association between Success at the Junior and Senior Level for British Swimmers.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2021Article
- Storm Clouds on the Horizon: On the Emerging Need to Tighten Selection Policies.Frontiers in sports and active living · 2021Article
- Interim Performance Progression (IPP) During Consecutive Season Best Performances of Talented Swimmers.Frontiers in sports and active living · 2020Article
- The Influence of the Coaches' Demographics on Young Swimmers' Performance and Technical Determinants.Frontiers in psychology · 2020Article
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
5 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
purposeThe primary aim was to create a performance progression model of elite competitors in the World Swimming Championships from 2006 to 2017 for all strokes and distances. Secondly, to identify the influence of annual ratios of progression, ages of peak performance and junior status on success in senior competitions.
methodsData regarding the participants of senior and junior World Championships (WCs) between 2006 and 2017 were obtained from FINA. The final filtered database, after removing those swimmers who just participated in junior WCs, included 4076. Statistical models were used to examine differences between the top senior swimmers (the top 30% best performances; T30) and lower level swimmers (the bottom 70% performances; L70) for minimum age (MA), progress (P) and best junior time (BJ). In order to identify the variables that contribute to reach the T30 group, a logistic regression (LR), stepwise LR and decision tree were applied. To analyze the effect of each variable separately, a simple LR (gross odds ratio) was performed. Ratio probabilities (OR) and 95% confidence intervals were calculated for each variable.
resultsSwimmer's BJ and P were higher in the T30 group (
conclusionSwimmers with exceptional junior performance times, or have a high rate of progress are more likely to be successful at the senior WCs.
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