Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32036429›Full record

Observational studyClinical research in cardiology : official journal of the German Cardiac Society2020

Compared with matched controls, patients with postoperative atrial fibrillation (POAF) have increased long-term AF after CABG, and POAF is further associated with increased ischemic stroke, heart failure and mortality even after adjustment for AF.

Emma Thorén, Mona-Lisa Wernroth, Christina Christersson, Karl-Henrik Grinnemo, Lena Jidéus, Elisabeth Ståhle

Abstract readObservational Study
In one paragraph

Observational study in Clinical research in cardiology : official journal of the German Cardiac Society, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 40 papers, 6 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
40citing papers in PubMed, 6 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

40 citing papers in PubMed, 6 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

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  8. Improving atrial fibrillation or flutter detection and management by smartphone-based photoplethysmography rhythm monitoring following cardiac surgery: a pragmatic randomized trial.Europace : European pacing, arrhythmias, and cardiac electrophysiology : journal of the working groups on cardiac pacing, arrhythmias, and cardiac cellular electrophysiology of the European Society of Cardiology · 2025
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Emma ThorénDepartment of Surgical Sciences, Cardiothoracic Surgery, Uppsala University, Uppsala, Sweden.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-3193-7643
Mona-Lisa WernrothDepartment of Medical Sciences, Molecular Epidemiology and Science for Life Laboratory, and Uppsala Clinical Research Center (UCR), Uppsala University, Uppsala, Sweden.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-8845-8846
Christina ChristerssonDepartment of Medical Sciences, Cardiology, Uppsala University, Uppsala, Sweden.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-9116-8084
Karl-Henrik GrinnemoDepartment of Surgical Sciences, Cardiothoracic Surgery, Uppsala University, Uppsala, Sweden.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-6717-3393
Lena JidéusDepartment of Surgical Sciences, Cardiothoracic Surgery, Uppsala University, Uppsala, Sweden.
Elisabeth StåhleDepartment of Surgical Sciences, Cardiothoracic Surgery, Uppsala University, Uppsala, Sweden. elisabeth.stahle@akademiska.se.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-3086-4064

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveTo analyze (1) associations between postoperative atrial fibrillation (POAF) after CABG and long-term cardiovascular outcome, (2) whether associations were influenced by AF during follow-up, and (3) if morbidities associated with POAF contribute to mortality.

methodsAn observational cohort study of 7145 in-hospital survivors after isolated CABG (1996-2012), with preoperative sinus rhythm and without AF history. Incidence of AF was compared with matched controls. Time-updated covariates were used to adjust for POAF-related morbidities during follow-up, including AF.

resultsThirty-one percent of patients developed POAF. Median follow-up was 9.8 years. POAF patients had increased AF compared with matched controls (HR 3.03; 95% CI 2.66-3.49), while AF occurrence in non-POAF patients was similar to controls (1.00; 0.89-1.13). The observed AF increase among POAF patients compared with controls persisted over time (> 10 years 2.73; 2.13-3.51). Conversely, the non-POAF cohort showed no AF increase beyond the first postoperative year. Further, POAF was associated with long-term AF (adjusted HR 3.20; 95% CI 2.73-3.76), ischemic stroke (1.23; 1.06-1.42), heart failure (1.44; 1.27-1.63), overall mortality (1.21; 1.11-1.32), cardiac mortality (1.35; 1.18-1.54), and cerebrovascular mortality (1.54; 1.17-2.02). These associations remained after adjustment for AF during follow-up. Adjustment for other POAF-associated morbidities weakened the association between POAF and overall mortality, which became non-significant.

conclusionsPatients with POAF after CABG had three times the incidence of long-term AF compared with both non-POAF patients and matched controls. POAF was associated with long-term ischemic stroke, heart failure, and corresponding mortality even after adjustment for AF during follow-up. The increased overall mortality was partly explained by morbidities associated with POAF.

Indexed as

AgedAtrial FibrillationCohort StudiesCoronary Artery BypassFemaleFollow-Up StudiesHeart FailureHumansIncidenceIschemic StrokeMaleMiddle AgedPostoperative ComplicationsAtrial fibrillationCoronary artery bypass graft surgeryHeart failureMortalityStroke

Identifiers

PMID32036429
PMCPMC7515855

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.