Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32034914›Full record

ArticleClinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America2021

A 2-Biomarker Model Augments Clinical Prediction of Mortality in Melioidosis.

Shelton W Wright, Taniya Kaewarpai, Lara Lovelace-Macon, Deirdre Ducken, Viriya Hantrakun, Kristina E Rudd, Prapit Teparrukkul, Rungnapa Phunpang, Peeraya Ekchariyawat, Adul Dulsuk and 6 more

Open access · hybridAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 15 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
15citing papers in PubMed
0.9field-weighted citation impact, top 26% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

15 citing papers in PubMed, 14 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Review
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  6. Frontiers in veterinary science · 2025
    Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Plasma Metabolomics Reveals Distinct Biological and Diagnostic Signatures for Melioidosis.American journal of respiratory and critical care medicine · 2024
    Article
  12. Article
  13. [Establishment of a nomogram model for the early diagnosis of childhood sepsis].Zhongguo dang dai er ke za zhi = Chinese journal of contemporary pediatrics · 2022
    Article
  14. Article
  15. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

16 authors at 5 institutions in 2 countries.

Shelton W WrightDivision of Pediatric Critical Care Medicine, Department of Pediatrics, University of Washington, Seattle, Washington, USA.
Taniya KaewarpaiDepartment of Microbiology and Immunology, Faculty of Tropical Medicine, Mahidol University, Bangkok, Thailand.
Lara Lovelace-MaconDivision of Pulmonary, Critical Care, and Sleep Medicine, Department of Medicine, University of Washington, Seattle, Washington, USA.
Deirdre DuckenDivision of Pulmonary, Critical Care, and Sleep Medicine, Department of Medicine, University of Washington, Seattle, Washington, USA.
Viriya HantrakunMahidol Oxford Tropical Medicine Research Unit, Faculty of Tropical Medicine, Mahidol University, Bangkok, Thailand.
Kristina E RuddDepartment of Critical Care Medicine, University of Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, USA.
Prapit TeparrukkulDepartment of Internal Medicine, Sunpasitthiprasong Hospital, Ubon Ratchathani, Thailand.
Rungnapa PhunpangMahidol Oxford Tropical Medicine Research Unit, Faculty of Tropical Medicine, Mahidol University, Bangkok, Thailand.
Peeraya EkchariyawatDepartment of Microbiology, Faculty of Public Health, Mahidol University, Bangkok, Thailand.
Adul DulsukMahidol Oxford Tropical Medicine Research Unit, Faculty of Tropical Medicine, Mahidol University, Bangkok, Thailand.
Boonhthanom MoonmueangsanDepartment of Medicine, Mukdahan Hospital, Mukdahan, Thailand.
Chumpol MorakotDepartment of Medicine, Mukdahan Hospital, Mukdahan, Thailand.
Ekkachai ThiansukhonDepartment of Medicine, Udon Thani Hospital, Udon Thani, Thailand.
Direk LimmathurotsakulMahidol Oxford Tropical Medicine Research Unit, Faculty of Tropical Medicine, Mahidol University, Bangkok, Thailand.
Narisara ChantratitaDepartment of Microbiology and Immunology, Faculty of Tropical Medicine, Mahidol University, Bangkok, Thailand.
T Eoin WestDivision of Pulmonary, Critical Care, and Sleep Medicine, Department of Medicine, University of Washington, Seattle, Washington, USA.
Mahidol University · THUniversity of Washington · USSappasithiprasong Hospital · THUdon Thani Hospital · THUniversity of Pittsburgh · US

Funding

RESPIRATORY RESEARCH TRAINING PROGRAMT32HL007287 · NHLBI · UNIVERSITY OF WASHINGTON · PI Kristina Anne Crothers, David J. Horne · 1985 to 2026
$16.7M
Anesthesiology & Perioperative Medicine Training GrantT32GM086270 · NIGMS · UNIVERSITY OF WASHINGTON · PI Tonya M Palermo · 2009 to 2026
$4.3M
Integrated Multi-omics of MelioidosisR01AI137111 · NIAID · UNIVERSITY OF WASHINGTON · PI GHARIB, SINA A, WEST, TIMOTHY EOIN · 2018 to 2021
$3.2M
Regulation of host inflammatory responses and outcome in melioidosis by TLR5R01HL113382 · NHLBI · UNIVERSITY OF WASHINGTON · PI WEST, TIMOTHY EOIN · 2012 to 2016
$2.6M
Determinants of Outcome and Recurrent Infections in MelioidosisU01AI115520 · NIAID · MAHIDOL UNIVERSITY · PI CHANTRATITA, NARISARA, WEST, TIMOTHY EOIN · 2015 to 2019
$2.0M
NHLBI NIH HHS R01 HL113382NHLBI NIH HHS T32 HL007287NIAID NIH HHS R01 AI137111NIAID NIH HHS U01 AI115520NIGMS NIH HHS T32 GM086270Wellcome TrustWellcome Trust 090219/Z/09/ZWellcome Trust 101103/Z/13/Z
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundMelioidosis, infection caused by Burkholderia pseudomallei, is a common cause of sepsis with high associated mortality in Southeast Asia. Identification of patients at high likelihood of clinical deterioration is important for guiding decisions about resource allocation and management. We sought to develop a biomarker-based model for 28-day mortality prediction in melioidosis.

methodsIn a derivation set (N = 113) of prospectively enrolled, hospitalized Thai patients with melioidosis, we measured concentrations of interferon-γ, interleukin-1β, interleukin-6, interleukin-8, interleukin-10, tumor necrosis factor-ɑ, granulocyte-colony stimulating factor, and interleukin-17A. We used least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression to identify a subset of predictive biomarkers and performed logistic regression and receiver operating characteristic curve analysis to evaluate biomarker-based prediction of 28-day mortality compared with clinical variables. We repeated select analyses in an internal validation set (N = 78) and in a prospectively enrolled external validation set (N = 161) of hospitalized adults with melioidosis.

resultsAll 8 cytokines were positively associated with 28-day mortality. Of these, interleukin-6 and interleukin-8 were selected by LASSO regression. A model consisting of interleukin-6, interleukin-8, and clinical variables significantly improved 28-day mortality prediction over a model of only clinical variables [AUC (95% confidence interval [CI]): 0.86 (.79-.92) vs 0.78 (.69-.87); P = .01]. In both the internal validation set (0.91 [0.84-0.97]) and the external validation set (0.81 [0.74-0.88]), the combined model including biomarkers significantly improved 28-day mortality prediction over a model limited to clinical variables.

conclusionsA 2-biomarker model augments clinical prediction of 28-day mortality in melioidosis.

Indexed as

MelioidosisAdultBiomarkersBurkholderia pseudomalleiCytokinesHumansThailandBiomarkersCytokinesbiomarkersIL-6IL-8melioidosissepsis

Identifiers

PMID32034914
PMCPMC7935382
OpenAlexW3006444922

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.