Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32030084›Full record

ArticleCurrent genomics2019

A Genetic Predictive Model Estimating the Risk of Developing Adolescent Idiopathic Scoliosis.

Leilei Xu, Zhichong Wu, Chao Xia, Nelson Tang, Jack C Y Cheng, Yong Qiu, ZeZhang Zhu

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Current genomics, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 11 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
11citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

11 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Leilei Xu1Department of Spine Surgery, The Affiliated Drum Tower Hospital of Nanjing University Medical School, Zhongshan Road 321, Nanjing210008, China; 2Joint Scoliosis Research Center of The Chinese University of Hong Kong and Nanjing University, Nanjing, China; 3SH Ho Scoliosis Research Laboratory, Department of Orthopaedics and Traumatology, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Shatin, Hong Kong.
Zhichong Wu1Department of Spine Surgery, The Affiliated Drum Tower Hospital of Nanjing University Medical School, Zhongshan Road 321, Nanjing210008, China; 2Joint Scoliosis Research Center of The Chinese University of Hong Kong and Nanjing University, Nanjing, China; 3SH Ho Scoliosis Research Laboratory, Department of Orthopaedics and Traumatology, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Shatin, Hong Kong.
Chao Xia1Department of Spine Surgery, The Affiliated Drum Tower Hospital of Nanjing University Medical School, Zhongshan Road 321, Nanjing210008, China; 2Joint Scoliosis Research Center of The Chinese University of Hong Kong and Nanjing University, Nanjing, China; 3SH Ho Scoliosis Research Laboratory, Department of Orthopaedics and Traumatology, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Shatin, Hong Kong.
Nelson Tang1Department of Spine Surgery, The Affiliated Drum Tower Hospital of Nanjing University Medical School, Zhongshan Road 321, Nanjing210008, China; 2Joint Scoliosis Research Center of The Chinese University of Hong Kong and Nanjing University, Nanjing, China; 3SH Ho Scoliosis Research Laboratory, Department of Orthopaedics and Traumatology, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Shatin, Hong Kong.
Jack C Y Cheng1Department of Spine Surgery, The Affiliated Drum Tower Hospital of Nanjing University Medical School, Zhongshan Road 321, Nanjing210008, China; 2Joint Scoliosis Research Center of The Chinese University of Hong Kong and Nanjing University, Nanjing, China; 3SH Ho Scoliosis Research Laboratory, Department of Orthopaedics and Traumatology, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Shatin, Hong Kong.
Yong Qiu1Department of Spine Surgery, The Affiliated Drum Tower Hospital of Nanjing University Medical School, Zhongshan Road 321, Nanjing210008, China; 2Joint Scoliosis Research Center of The Chinese University of Hong Kong and Nanjing University, Nanjing, China; 3SH Ho Scoliosis Research Laboratory, Department of Orthopaedics and Traumatology, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Shatin, Hong Kong.
ZeZhang Zhu1Department of Spine Surgery, The Affiliated Drum Tower Hospital of Nanjing University Medical School, Zhongshan Road 321, Nanjing210008, China; 2Joint Scoliosis Research Center of The Chinese University of Hong Kong and Nanjing University, Nanjing, China; 3SH Ho Scoliosis Research Laboratory, Department of Orthopaedics and Traumatology, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Shatin, Hong Kong.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundPrevious GWASs have revealed several susceptible variants associated with adolescent idiopathic scoliosis (AIS). Risk prediction based on these variants can potentially improve disease prognosis. We aimed to evaluate the combined effects of genetic factors on the development of AIS and to further develop a genetic predictive model.

methodsA total of 914 AIS patients and 1441 normal controls were included in the discovery stage, which was followed by the replication stage composed of 871 patients and 1239 controls. Genotyping assay was performed to analyze 10 previously reported susceptible variants, including rs678741 of LBX1, rs241215 of AJAP1, rs13398147 of PAX3, rs16934784 of BNC2, rs2050157 of GPR126, rs2180439 of PAX1, rs4940576 of BCL2, rs7593846 of MEIS1, rs7633294 of MAGI1 and rs9810566 of TNIK. Logistic regression analysis was performed to generate a risk predictive model. The predicted risk score was calculated for each participant in the replication stage.

resultsThe association of the 10 variants with AIS was successfully validated. The established model could explain approximately 7.9% of the overall variance. In the replication stage, patients were found to have a remarkably higher risk score as compared to the controls (44.2 ± 14.4 vs. 33.9 ± 12.5, p <0.001). There was a remarkably higher proportion of the risk score i.e. >40 in the patients than in the controls (59% vs. 28.9%, p <0.001).

conclusionRisk predictive model based on the previously reported genetic variants has a remarkable discriminative power. More clinical and genetic factors need to be studied, to further improve the proba-bility to predict the onset of AIS.

Indexed as

adolescent idiopathic scoliosislevel of evidence Level IVonsetPredictive modelprognosisreplicationsusceptible variants

Identifiers

PMID32030084
PMCPMC6983957

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