Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32015257›Full record

SynthesisJournal of clinical rheumatology : practical reports on rheumatic & musculoskeletal diseases2021

Secukinumab Efficacy in Psoriatic Arthritis: Machine Learning and Meta-analysis of Four Phase 3 Trials.

Alice B Gottlieb, Philip J Mease, Bruce Kirkham, Peter Nash, Alejandro C Balsa, Bernard Combe, Jürgen Rech, Xuan Zhu, David James, Ruvie Martin and 3 more

Open access · hybridAbstract readMeta-Analysis
In one paragraph

Synthesis in Journal of clinical rheumatology : practical reports on rheumatic & musculoskeletal diseases, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 15 papers, 3 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
15citing papers in PubMed, 3 pooled it
2.5field-weighted citation impact, top 11% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

15 citing papers in PubMed, 3 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 26 citations in OpenAlex.

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  15. [Role of artificial intelligence in assessing the extent and progression of dermatoses].Der Hautarzt; Zeitschrift fur Dermatologie, Venerologie, und verwandte Gebiete · 2020
    Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

13 authors at 9 institutions in 8 countries.

Alice B GottliebFrom the Department of Dermatology, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, NY.
Philip J MeaseSwedish Medical Centre and University of Washington, Seattle, WA.
Bruce KirkhamGuy's & St Thomas' NHS Foundation Trust, London, United Kingdom.
Peter NashDepartment of Medicine, Griffith University, Brisbane, Australia.
Alejandro C BalsaHospital Universitario La Paz, Instituto de Investigación Sanitaria (IdiPAZ), Universidad Autonoma Madrid, Madrid, Spain.
Bernard CombeCHU Montpellier, Montpellier University, Montpellier, France.
Jürgen RechFriedrich-Alexander-University Erlangen-Nürnberg (FAU), Department of Internal Medicine 3, Rheumatology and Immunology, Universitätsklinikum Erlangen, Erlangen, Germany.
Xuan ZhuNovartis Pharmaceuticals Corporation, East Hanover, NJ.
David JamesNovartis Pharmaceuticals Corporation, East Hanover, NJ.
Ruvie MartinNovartis Pharmaceuticals Corporation, East Hanover, NJ.
Gregory LigozioNovartis Pharmaceuticals Corporation, East Hanover, NJ.
Ken AbramsNovartis Pharmaceuticals Corporation, East Hanover, NJ.
Luminita PricopNovartis Pharmaceuticals Corporation, East Hanover, NJ.
Novartis (Switzerland) · CHCentre Hospitalier Universitaire de Montpellier · FRGriffith University · AUGuy's and St Thomas' NHS Foundation Trust · GBHospital La Paz Institute for Health Research · ESIcahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai · USPharmac · NZSwedish Medical Center · USUniversitätsklinikum Erlangen · DE

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundUsing a machine learning approach, the study investigated if specific baseline characteristics could predict which psoriatic arthritis (PsA) patients may gain additional benefit from a starting dose of secukinumab 300 mg over 150 mg. We also report results from individual patient efficacy meta-analysis (IPEM) in 2049 PsA patients from the FUTURE 2 to 5 studies to evaluate the efficacy of secukinumab 300 mg, 150 mg with and without loading regimen versus placebo at week 16 on achievement of several clinically relevant difficult-to-achieve (higher hurdle) endpoints.

methodsMachine learning employed Bayesian elastic net to analyze baseline data of 2148 PsA patients investigating 275 predictors. For IPEM, results were presented as difference in response rates versus placebo at week 16.

resultsMachine learning showed secukinumab 300 mg has additional benefits in patients who are anti-tumor necrosis factor-naive, treated with 1 prior anti-tumor necrosis factor agent, not receiving methotrexate, with enthesitis at baseline, and with shorter PsA disease duration. For IPEM, at week 16, all secukinumab doses had greater treatment effect (%) versus placebo for higher hurdle endpoints in the overall population and in all subgroups; 300-mg dose had greater treatment effect than 150 mg for all endpoints in overall population and most subgroups.

conclusionsMachine learning identified predictors for additional benefit of secukinumab 300 mg compared with 150 mg dose. Individual patient efficacy meta-analysis showed that secukinumab 300 mg provided greater improvements compared with 150 mg in higher hurdle efficacy endpoints in patients with active PsA in the overall population and most subgroups with various levels of baseline disease activity and psoriasis.

Indexed as

Arthritis, PsoriaticAntibodies, MonoclonalAntibodies, Monoclonal, HumanizedBayes TheoremClinical Trials, Phase III as TopicDouble-Blind MethodHumansMachine LearningAntibodies, MonoclonalAntibodies, Monoclonal, Humanizedsecukinumab

Identifiers

PMID32015257
PMCPMC8389345
OpenAlexW3004626180

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.