Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32002551›Full record

ArticleAnnals of botany2020

Parameter estimation for functional-structural plant models when data are scarce: using multiple patterns for rejecting unsuitable parameter sets.

Ming Wang, Neil White, Jim Hanan, Di He, Enli Wang, Bronwen Cribb, Darren J Kriticos, Dean Paini, Volker Grimm

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Article in Annals of botany, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

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2citing papers in PubMed
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3 · Its place in the literature

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2 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

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5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

Ming WangCommonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation (CSIRO), Health & Biosecurity, Canberra, Australia.
Neil WhiteThe University of Queensland, Queensland Alliance for Agriculture and Food Innovation (QAAFI), Centre for Horticultural Science, Brisbane, Australia.
Jim HananThe University of Queensland, Queensland Alliance for Agriculture and Food Innovation (QAAFI), Centre for Horticultural Science, Brisbane, Australia.
Di HeCommonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation (CSIRO), Agriculture & Food, Canberra, Australia.
Enli WangCommonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation (CSIRO), Agriculture & Food, Canberra, Australia.
Bronwen CribbThe University of Queensland, Centre for Microscopy and Microanalysis, Brisbane, Australia.
Darren J KriticosCommonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation (CSIRO), Health & Biosecurity, Canberra, Australia.
Dean PainiCommonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation (CSIRO), Health & Biosecurity, Canberra, Australia.
Volker GrimmHelmholtz Centre for Environmental Research-UFZ, Department of Ecological Modelling, Permoserstr, Germany.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

BACKGROUND AND

aimsFunctional-structural plant (FSP) models provide insights into the complex interactions between plant architecture and underlying developmental mechanisms. However, parameter estimation of FSP models remains challenging. We therefore used pattern-oriented modelling (POM) to test whether parameterization of FSP models can be made more efficient, systematic and powerful. With POM, a set of weak patterns is used to determine uncertain parameter values, instead of measuring them in experiments or observations, which often is infeasible.

methodsWe used an existing FSP model of avocado (Persea americana 'Hass') and tested whether POM parameterization would converge to an existing manual parameterization. The model was run for 10 000 parameter sets and model outputs were compared with verification patterns. Each verification pattern served as a filter for rejecting unrealistic parameter sets. The model was then validated by running it with the surviving parameter sets that passed all filters and then comparing their pooled model outputs with additional validation patterns that were not used for parameterization. KEY

resultsPOM calibration led to 22 surviving parameter sets. Within these sets, most individual parameters varied over a large range. One of the resulting sets was similar to the manually parameterized set. Using the entire suite of surviving parameter sets, the model successfully predicted all validation patterns. However, two of the surviving parameter sets could not make the model predict all validation patterns.

conclusionsOur findings suggest strong interactions among model parameters and their corresponding processes, respectively. Using all surviving parameter sets takes these interactions into account fully, thereby improving model performance regarding validation and model output uncertainty. We conclude that POM calibration allows FSP models to be developed in a timely manner without having to rely on field or laboratory experiments, or on cumbersome manual parameterization. POM also increases the predictive power of FSP models.

Indexed as

PerseaCalibrationModels, StructuralUncertaintyagent-based modellingavocadoequifinalityfunctional–structural plant modellingindividual-based modellingmodel calibrationmodel parameterizationparameter estimationparameter identifiabilityPattern-oriented modellingPersea americanasimulation inference

Identifiers

PMID32002551
PMCPMC7489104

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.