Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31999952›Full record

ArticleThe Lancet. Planetary health2020

A global analysis of urban design types and road transport injury: an image processing study.

Jason Thompson, Mark Stevenson, Jasper S Wijnands, Kerry A Nice, Gideon Dpa Aschwanden, Jeremy Silver, Mark Nieuwenhuijsen, Peter Rayner, Robyn Schofield, Rohit Hariharan and 1 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in The Lancet. Planetary health, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 13 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
13citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

13 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Traffic accident mortality in large urban areas, Argentina 2010-2016Revista de la Facultad de Ciencias Medicas (Cordoba, Argentina) · 2026
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors.

Jason ThompsonTransport, Health and Urban Design Research Hub, University of Melbourne, Melbourne, VIC, Australia. Electronic address: jason.thompson@unimelb.edu.au.
Mark StevensonTransport, Health and Urban Design Research Hub, University of Melbourne, Melbourne, VIC, Australia.
Jasper S WijnandsTransport, Health and Urban Design Research Hub, University of Melbourne, Melbourne, VIC, Australia.
Kerry A NiceTransport, Health and Urban Design Research Hub, University of Melbourne, Melbourne, VIC, Australia.
Gideon Dpa AschwandenTransport, Health and Urban Design Research Hub, University of Melbourne, Melbourne, VIC, Australia.
Jeremy SilverSchool of Earth Sciences, University of Melbourne, Melbourne, VIC, Australia.
Mark NieuwenhuijsenBarcelona Institute of Global Health, Barcelona, Spain.
Peter RaynerSchool of Earth Sciences, University of Melbourne, Melbourne, VIC, Australia.
Robyn SchofieldSchool of Earth Sciences, University of Melbourne, Melbourne, VIC, Australia.
Rohit HariharanTransport, Health and Urban Design Research Hub, University of Melbourne, Melbourne, VIC, Australia.
Christopher N MorrisonMailman School of Public Health, Columbia University, New York, NY, USA.

Funding

CE19-001, The Columbia Center for Injury Science and Prevention (CCISP)R49CE003094 · CE · COLUMBIA UNIVERSITY HEALTH SCIENCES · PI BRANAS, CHARLES C. · 2018 to 2023
$4.3M
Influences Of In-Person Social Networks, Digital Social Networks And Neighborhoods On Adolescent Alcohol ConsumptionK01AA026327 · NIAAA · COLUMBIA UNIVERSITY HEALTH SCIENCES · PI MORRISON, CHRISTOPHER NEIL · 2018 to 2022
$903k
NCIPC CDC HHS R49 CE003094NIAAA NIH HHS K01 AA026327
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundDeath and injury due to motor vehicle crashes is the world's fifth leading cause of mortality and morbidity. City and urban designs might play a role in mitigating the global burden of road transport injury to an extent that has not been captured by traditional safe system approaches. We aimed to determine the relationship between urban design and road trauma across the globe.

methodsApplying a combined convolutional neural network and graph-based approach, 1692 cities capturing one third of the world's population were classified into types based on urban design characteristics represented in sample maps. Associations between identified city types, characteristics contained within sample maps, and the burden of road transport injury as measured by disability adjusted life-years were estimated through univariate and multivariate analyses, controlling for the influence of economic activity.

findingsBetween Mar 1, 2017, and Dec 24, 2018, nine global city types based on a final sample of 1632 cities were identified. Burden of road transport injury was an estimated two-times higher (risk ratio 2·05, 95% CI 1·84-2·27) for the poorest performing city type compared with the best performing city type, culminating in an estimated loss of 8·71 (8·08-9·25) million disability-adjusted life-years per year attributable to suboptimal urban design. City types that featured a greater proportion of railed public transport networks combined with dense road networks characterised by smaller blocks showed the lowest rates of road traffic injury.

interpretationThis study highlights the important role that city and urban design plays in mitigating road transport injury burden at a global scale. It is recommended that road and transport safety efforts promote urban design that features characteristics inherent in identified high-performance city types including higher density road infrastructure and high rates of public transit.

fundingSee acknowledgments.

Indexed as

Built EnvironmentCost of IllnessAccidents, TrafficCitiesHumans

Identifiers

PMID31999952
PMCPMC7457316

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.