Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31995611›Full record

ArticlePloS one2020

Prediction of metastatic prostate cancer by prostate-specific antigen in combination with T stage and Gleason Grade: Nationwide, population-based register study.

Frederik B Thomsen, Marcus Westerberg, Hans Garmo, David Robinson, Lars Holmberg, Hans David Ulmert, Pär Stattin

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in PloS one, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 18 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
18citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
3.9field-weighted citation impact, top 5% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

18 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 40 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Trial
  3. Trial
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Emerging Therapeutic Strategies in Metastatic Hormone-Sensitive Prostate Cancer.Journal of immunotherapy and precision oncology · 2026
    Review
  9. Article
  10. Frontiers in oncology · 2025
    Article
  11. Review
  12. Article
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. Article
  16. Article
  17. Article
  18. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors at 5 institutions in 4 countries.

Frederik B ThomsenCopenhagen Prostate Cancer Center, Department of Urology, Rigshospitalet, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen, Denmark.ORCID 0000-0001-8865-6968
Marcus WesterbergDepartment of Surgical Sciences, Uppsala University Hospital, Uppsala, Sweden.ORCID 0000-0002-8906-6967
Hans GarmoDepartment of Surgical Sciences, Uppsala University Hospital, Uppsala, Sweden.
David RobinsonDepartment of Urology, Ryhov Hospital, Jönköping, Sweden.ORCID 0000-0002-3433-8873
Lars HolmbergDepartment of Surgical Sciences, Uppsala University Hospital, Uppsala, Sweden.
Hans David UlmertUniversity of California Los Angeles, Department of Molecular and Medical Pharmacology, Los Angeles, CA, United States of America.
Pär StattinDepartment of Surgical Sciences, Uppsala University Hospital, Uppsala, Sweden.
Uppsala University Hospital · SERyhov Hospital Jönköping · SEUniversity of California, Los Angeles · USUniversity of Copenhagen · DKUppsala University · SE

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The objective was to investigate the proportion of men with metastatic prostate cancer in groups defined by T stage, Gleason Grade Group (GGG) and serum levels of prostate-specific antigen (PSA) and if PSA can be used to rule in metastatic prostate cancer when combined with T stage and GGG. We identified 102,076 men in Prostate Cancer data Base Sweden 4.0 who were diagnosed with prostate cancer in 2006-2016. Risk of metastases was assessed for PSA stratified on T stage and five-tiered GGG. For men who had not undergone bone imaging, we used multiple imputation to classify metastatic prostate cancer. Advanced T stage, high GGG and high PSA were related to bone metastases. For example: only 79/38 190 (0.2%) of men with T1-2 and GGG 1 had PSA above 500 ng/mL, and 29/79 (44%) of these men had metastases; whereas 1 154/7 018 (16%) of men with T3-4 and GGG 5 had PSA above 500 ng/ml and 1 088/1 154 (94%) of these men had metastases. However, no PSA cut-off could accurately identify the majority of men with metastatic prostate cancer (i.e. high sensitivity) while also correctly classifying most men without metastasis (i.e. high specificity). In conclusion, these results support the use of imaging to confirm bone metastases in men with advanced prostate cancer as no PSA level in combination with T stage and GGG could accurately rule in metastatic prostate cancer and thereby safely omit bone imaging.

Indexed as

AgedAged, 80 and overBone NeoplasmsHumansMaleMiddle AgedNeoplasm GradingNeoplasm StagingProstate-Specific AntigenProstatic NeoplasmsSensitivity and SpecificitySwedenProstate-Specific Antigen

Identifiers

PMID31995611
PMCPMC6988964
OpenAlexW3003488142

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.