Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31993739›Full record

ArticleLung2020

Change in Serum Biomarker CA 15-3 as an Early Predictor of Response to Treatment and Survival in Hypersensitivity Pneumonitis.

S A Moll, I A Wiertz, A D M Vorselaars, H J T Ruven, C H M van Moorsel, J C Grutters

Abstract read
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In one paragraph

Article in Lung, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 5 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
5citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
0.8field-weighted citation impact, top 25% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

5 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 12 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Prognostic biomarkers for the development of progressive pulmonary fibrosis in hypersensitivity pneumonitis: a systematic review.European respiratory review : an official journal of the European Respiratory Society · 2025
    Pooled it
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

S A MollDepartment of Pulmonology, Centre for Interstitial Lung Diseases, St. Antonius Hospital Nieuwegein, Post Box 2500, 3435 CM, Nieuwegein, The Netherlands. s.moll@antoniusziekenhuis.nl.ORCID 0000-0002-6397-2427
I A WiertzDepartment of Pulmonology, Centre for Interstitial Lung Diseases, St. Antonius Hospital Nieuwegein, Post Box 2500, 3435 CM, Nieuwegein, The Netherlands.
A D M VorselaarsDepartment of Pulmonology, Centre for Interstitial Lung Diseases, St. Antonius Hospital Nieuwegein, Post Box 2500, 3435 CM, Nieuwegein, The Netherlands.
H J T RuvenDepartment of Clinical Chemistry, St. Antonius Hospital, Nieuwegein, The Netherlands.
C H M van MoorselDepartment of Pulmonology, Centre for Interstitial Lung Diseases, St. Antonius Hospital Nieuwegein, Post Box 2500, 3435 CM, Nieuwegein, The Netherlands. c.van.moorsel@antoniusziekenhuis.nl.
J C GruttersDepartment of Pulmonology, Centre for Interstitial Lung Diseases, St. Antonius Hospital Nieuwegein, Post Box 2500, 3435 CM, Nieuwegein, The Netherlands.
St. Antonius Ziekenhuis · NLUniversity Medical Center Utrecht · NL

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundHypersensitivity pneumonitis (HP) is an interstitial lung disease with a heterogeneous course of disease and treatment response. Cancer antigen 15-3 (CA 15-3), part of mucin 1, is believed to reflect epithelial cell injury and lung permeability and could be a potential biomarker for treatment response in HP.

objectiveTo assess the value of CA 15-3 as a predictive biomarker in non-fibrotic and fibrotic HP during immunosuppressive therapy.

designSerum levels of CA 15-3 and pulmonary function tests (PFTs) were retrospectively retrieved from 48 HP patients treated with prednisone or cyclophosphamide at initiation of therapy (baseline), after 3 and 6 months. Pearson's correlation coefficient was computed to assess correlations between change in serum levels and PFT. Survival was evaluated using Kaplan-Meier curves.

resultsAfter 6 months of immunosuppressive therapy CA 15-3 levels decreased significantly compared to baseline (p = 0.001). Change in CA 15-3 after 6 months correlated with FVC change (r =  - 0.469; p = 0.001). Correlations with FVC change were observed in prednisone-treated HP (r =  - 0.514; p = 0.005) and fibrotic HP (r =  - 0.417; p = 0.007). Three-month CA 15-3 change correlated with 6-month FVC change (r =  - 0.599; p < 0.001). CA 15-3 declines of at least 7.9% after 6 months were associated with increased survival compared to minor CA 15-3 changes (HR 0.34; p = 0.020).

conclusionSerum CA 15-3 correlates with PFT during 6 months of immunosuppressive therapy in HP. Interestingly, early CA 15-3 changes could predict future PFT. Furthermore, a decrease in CA 15-3 is related to longer survival. Therefore, serum CA 15-3 is a promising biomarker for implementation in HP care.

Indexed as

Alveolitis, Extrinsic AllergicBiomarkers, PharmacologicalCyclophosphamideDrug MonitoringFemaleHumansImmunosuppressive AgentsKaplan-Meier EstimateLungMaleMiddle AgedMucin-1NetherlandsPredictive Value of TestsPrednisoneRespiratory Function TestsBiomarkers, PharmacologicalCyclophosphamideImmunosuppressive AgentsMucin-1PrednisoneCancer antigen 15-3Hypersensitivity pneumonitisInterstitial lung diseasePrognostic biomarkerPulmonary lung function

Identifiers

PMID31993739
OpenAlexW3003157830

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.