Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31992257›Full record

ArticleBMC public health2020

Trends in self-rated health among the elderly population in Germany from 1995 to 2015 - the influence of temporal change in leisure time physical activity.

Stefanie Sperlich, Johannes Beller, Jelena Epping, Juliane Tetzlaff, Siegfried Geyer

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMC public health, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 18 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
18citing papers in PubMed
3.0field-weighted citation impact, top 6% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

18 citing papers in PubMed, 35 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Article
  2. 20-Year trends in the social participation of the oldest old.Scandinavian journal of public health · 2025
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  13. Distinct physical activity and sedentary behavior trajectories in older adults during participation in a physical activity intervention: a latent class growth analysis.European review of aging and physical activity : official journal of the European Group for Research into Elderly and Physical Activity · 2022
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors at 1 institution in 1 country.

Stefanie SperlichHannover Medical School, Medical Sociology Unit, Carl-Neuberg-Str. 1, 30625, Hannover, Germany. Sperlich.Stefanie@mh-hannover.de.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-4903-7384
Johannes BellerHannover Medical School, Medical Sociology Unit, Carl-Neuberg-Str. 1, 30625, Hannover, Germany.
Jelena EppingHannover Medical School, Medical Sociology Unit, Carl-Neuberg-Str. 1, 30625, Hannover, Germany.
Juliane TetzlaffHannover Medical School, Medical Sociology Unit, Carl-Neuberg-Str. 1, 30625, Hannover, Germany.
Siegfried GeyerHannover Medical School, Medical Sociology Unit, Carl-Neuberg-Str. 1, 30625, Hannover, Germany.
Medizinische Hochschule Hannover · DE

Funding

Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft GE1167/15-1
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundAgainst the backdrop of rising statutory retirement age in Germany, we analyzed time trends in self-rated health (SRH) among the elderly population between 50 and 70 years of age and explored the mediating role of leisure time physical activity (LTPA) on the relationship between time period and self-rated health (SRH).

methodsWe used longitudinal survey data (n = 23,161) from a national panel study (GSOEP) to analyze time trends in SRH and regular LTPA (at least once a week) by means of Generalized Estimation Equation (GEE) analysis for logistic regression. The Karlson-Holm-Breen (KHB) method was applied for decomposing trend effects into direct and indirect parts via LTPA. In addition to odds ratios (OR), we illustrated the results by means of predicted probabilities and average partial effects (APE).

resultsOver time, the predicted probabilities of good SRH and regular LTPA increased while those of poor SRH decreased. After adjusting for socioeconomic status (SES) 53.4% of the trend in good SRH in women (OR = 1.34 / APE = 6.8%-points) could be attributed to the rise in regular LTPA. In men, the remaining smaller effect (OR = 1.13 / APE = 2.7%) could be fully assigned to temporal changes in regular LTPA. With respect to poor health we found a suppression effect of LTPA in the adjusted model, indicating that without improvements in regular LTPA over time an increase in poor SRH would have occurred.

conclusionsThe increase of regular LTPA accounted for improved SRH from 1995 to 2015 among the elderly, indicating that promoting LTPA might be a key factor to raise healthy working life expectancy.

Indexed as

Diagnostic Self EvaluationExerciseLeisure ActivitiesAgedFemaleGermanyHumansLongitudinal StudiesMaleMiddle AgedTime FactorsLeisure time physical activityMediationSRHTime trend

Identifiers

PMID31992257
PMCPMC6988275
OpenAlexW3004257805

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.