Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31983333›Full record

ArticlePhilosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences2020

Plant community diversity will decline more than increase under climatic warming.

Susan Harrison

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 19 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
19citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

19 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Simulated Warming Reduces Biomass Accumulation inPlants (Basel, Switzerland) · 2025
    Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Climate change and California's terrestrial biodiversity.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2024
    Review
  8. Using ancient sedimentary DNA to forecast ecosystem trajectories under climate change.Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences · 2024
    Article
  9. Article
  10. Potential geographical distribution ofFrontiers in microbiology · 2024
    Article
  11. Long-term spatiotemporal dynamics in a mountain birch (Plant-environment interactions (Hoboken, N.J.) · 2022
    Article
  12. Article
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. Article
  16. Article
  17. Article
  18. Climate change and ecosystems: threats, opportunities and solutions.Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences · 2020
    Article
  19. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

1 author.

Susan HarrisonDepartment of Environmental Science and Policy, UC Davis, Davis, CA 95616, USA.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Regions and localities may lose many species to extinction under rapid climate change and may gain other species that colonize from nearby warmer environments. Here, it is argued that warming-induced species losses will generally exceed gains and there will be more net declines than net increases in plant community richness. Declines in richness are especially likely in water-limited climates where intensifying aridity will increasingly exceed plant tolerances, but also in colder temperature-limited climates where steep climatic gradients are lacking, and therefore, large pools of appropriate species are not immediately adjacent. The selectivity of warming-induced losses may lead to declines in functional and phylogenetic diversity as well as in species richness, especially in water-limited climates. Our current understanding of climate-caused diversity trends may be overly influenced by numerous studies coming from north-temperate alpine mountaintops, where conditions are unusually favourable for increases-possibly temporary-in local species richness. This article is part of the theme issue 'Climate change and ecosystems: threats, opportunities and solutions'.

Indexed as

BiodiversityGlobal WarmingPlantsClimate Changeclimate changefunctional diversityphylogenetic diversityspecies richness

Identifiers

PMID31983333
PMCPMC7017766

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.