Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31967637›Full record

ArticleInternational journal of epidemiology2020

Vibration of effects in epidemiologic studies of alcohol consumption and breast cancer risk.

Lingzhi Chu, John P A Ioannidis, Alex C Egilman, Vasilis Vasiliou, Joseph S Ross, Joshua D Wallach

Open access · greenAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in International journal of epidemiology, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 9 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
9citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
2.0field-weighted citation impact, top 13% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

9 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 25 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
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  7. [Benefit assessment of digital health applications-challenges and opportunities].Bundesgesundheitsblatt, Gesundheitsforschung, Gesundheitsschutz · 2021
    Review
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

Lingzhi ChuDepartment of Environmental Health Sciences, Yale School of Public Health, New Haven, CT, USA.
John P A IoannidisMeta-Research Innovation Center at Stanford (METRICS), Stanford University, Stanford, CA, USA.
Alex C EgilmanCollaboration for Research Integrity and Transparency (CRIT), Yale Law School, New Haven, CT, USA.
Vasilis VasiliouDepartment of Environmental Health Sciences, Yale School of Public Health, New Haven, CT, USA.
Joseph S RossSection of General Medicine, Department of Internal Medicine, Yale School of Medicine, New Haven, CT, USA.
Joshua D WallachDepartment of Environmental Health Sciences, Yale School of Public Health, New Haven, CT, USA.
Stanford University · USYale University · US

Funding

Yale Clinical and Translational Science Award (U Component)UL1TR001863 · NCATS · YALE UNIVERSITY · PI John H. Krystal, LUCILA OHNO-MACHADO · 2016 to 2026
$102.9M
AHRQ HHS R01 HS022882FDA HHS U01 FD004585FDA HHS U01 FD005938NCATS NIH HHS UL1 TR001863
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundDifferent analytical approaches can influence the associations estimated in observational studies. We assessed the variability of effect estimates reported within and across observational studies evaluating the impact of alcohol on breast cancer.

methodsWe abstracted largest harmful, largest protective and smallest (closest to the null value of 1.0) relative risk estimates in studies included in a recent alcohol-breast cancer meta-analysis, and recorded how they differed based on five model specification characteristics, including exposure definition, exposure contrast levels, study populations, adjustment covariates and/or model approaches. For each study, we approximated vibration of effects by dividing the largest by the smallest effect estimate [i.e. ratio of odds ratio (ROR)].

resultsAmong 97 eligible studies, 85 (87.6%) reported both harmful and protective relative effect estimates for an alcohol-breast cancer relationship, which ranged from 1.1 to 17.9 and 0.0 to 1.0, respectively. The RORs comparing the largest and smallest estimates in value ranged from 1.0 to 106.2, with a median of 3.0 [interquartile range (IQR) 2.0-5.2]. One-third (35, 36.1%) of the RORs were based on extreme effect estimates with at least three different model specification characteristics; the vast majority (87, 89.7%) had different exposure definitions or contrast levels. Similar vibrations of effect were observed when only extreme estimates with differences based on study populations and/or adjustment covariates were compared.

conclusionsMost observational studies evaluating the impact of alcohol on breast cancer report relative effect estimates for the same associations that diverge by >2-fold. Therefore, observational studies should estimate the vibration of effects to provide insight regarding the stability of findings.

Indexed as

Alcohol DrinkingBreast NeoplasmsEpidemiologic StudiesFemaleHumansMeta-Analysis as TopicObservational Studies as TopicRiskAlcohol consumptionbreast cancerconfoundingvibration of effects

Identifiers

PMID31967637
PMCPMC7266551
OpenAlexW3002189205

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.