Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31959765›Full record

ArticleScientific data2020

High-resolution and bias-corrected CMIP5 projections for climate change impact assessments.

Carlos Navarro-Racines, Jaime Tarapues, Philip Thornton, Andy Jarvis, Julian Ramirez-Villegas

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Scientific data, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 54 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
54citing papers in PubMed
94.4field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

54 citing papers in PubMed, 420 citations in OpenAlex.

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  10. Predictions of southern migration timing in coastal sharks under future ocean warming.Conservation biology : the journal of the Society for Conservation Biology · 2025
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors at 3 institutions in 4 countries.

Carlos Navarro-RacinesInternational Center for Tropical Agriculture (CIAT), Cali, Colombia.
Jaime TarapuesInternational Center for Tropical Agriculture (CIAT), Cali, Colombia.
Philip ThorntonCGIAR Research Program on Climate Change, Agriculture and Food Security (CCAFS), c/o CIAT, Cali, Colombia.
Andy JarvisInternational Center for Tropical Agriculture (CIAT), Cali, Colombia.
Julian Ramirez-VillegasInternational Center for Tropical Agriculture (CIAT), Cali, Colombia. j.r.villegas@cgiar.org.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-8044-583X
International Center for Tropical Agriculture · COCGIAR · FRInternational Livestock Research Institute · KE

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Projections of climate change are available at coarse scales (70-400 km). But agricultural and species models typically require finer scale climate data to model climate change impacts. Here, we present a global database of future climates developed by applying the delta method -a method for climate model bias correction. We performed a technical evaluation of the bias-correction method using a 'perfect sibling' framework and show that it reduces climate model bias by 50-70%. The data include monthly maximum and minimum temperatures and monthly total precipitation, and a set of bioclimatic indices, and can be used for assessing impacts of climate change on agriculture and biodiversity. The data are publicly available in the World Data Center for Climate (WDCC; cera-www.dkrz.de), as well as in the CCAFS-Climate data portal (http://ccafs-climate.org). The database has been used up to date in more than 350 studies of ecosystem and agricultural impact assessment.

Identifiers

PMID31959765
PMCPMC6971081
OpenAlexW3000355687

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.