ArticleAge and ageing2020
The future incidence, prevalence and costs of stroke in the UK.
Article in Age and ageing, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to 2 registered trials, which are not on this map. Cited by 79 papers, 3 of them syntheses that pooled it.
What it found
Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.
The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Feasibility of Inpatient Technology Enriched Stroke Rehabilitation During the Acute and Sub-acute Phase After Stroke
Effectiveness of an mHealth Intervention, Based on Rehabilitation and a Personalised Nutrition Plan, in the Recovery and Improvement of Dysphagia in Patients Diagnosed With Stroke
Who cites it
79 citing papers in PubMed, 3 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.
- Treatment-modifying effects of frailty on stroke reperfusion therapy outcomes: a systematic review and meta-analysis.Age and ageing · 2026Pooled it
- Correlates of preparedness for caregiving of poststroke patients: a meta-analysis.Frontiers in neurology · 2025Pooled it
- The Role of Spirituality in Stroke Survivors and Their Caregivers: A Systematic Review.Journal of religion and health · 2024Pooled it
- Multisensory BCI promotes motor recovery via high-order network-mediated interhemispheric integration in chronic stroke.BMC medicine · 2025Trial
- A clinical trial evaluating feasibility and acceptability of a brain-computer interface for telerehabilitation in patients with stroke.Journal of neuroengineering and rehabilitation · 2025Trial
- Cost consequences analysis of early vocational rehabilitation compared with usual care for stroke survivors.Clinical rehabilitation · 2025Trial
- Trial
- Intensive, Multi-Technology Rehabilitation Programme for Chronic Stroke Survivors: Outcomes of a Phase I Single-Arm Repeated-Measures Study.Physiotherapy research international : the journal for researchers and clinicians in physical therapy · 2026Article
- Article
- Benefits and Importance of Early Rehabilitation in Patients After Stroke.Journal of functional morphology and kinesiology · 2026Review
- Comparison of the Tele-Oxford Cognitive Screen to a neuropsychological battery in chronic stroke survivors.Journal of neuropsychology · 2026Article
- Antiphospholipid syndrome and pregnancy-a hematologic perspective.Research and practice in thrombosis and haemostasis · 2026Article
- Frailty and Cardiovascular Risk.European cardiology · 2026Review
- Stroke survivors' and carers' experiences of nutritional care after stroke: a qualitative study.Frontiers in stroke · 2026Article
- Cost-Effectiveness and Budget Impact of Cardioform versus Amplatzer and Medical Therapy Alone for Patent Foramen Ovale Closure: A UK Payer Perspective.ClinicoEconomics and outcomes research : CEOR · 2026Article
- Association between the cumulative estimated glucose disposal rate and incident stroke in adults aged 50 and above without diabetes: a prospective nationwide cohort study in China.Cardiovascular diabetology · 2025Article
- Association of cholesterol, high-density lipoprotein, and glucose index and its modified indices with the risk of stroke: insights from CHARLS.BMC neurology · 2025Article
- Joint association of body mass index, abdominal obesity, and triglyceride-glucose index with stroke risk: insights from the China health and retirement longitudinal study.BMC neurology · 2025Article
- Impact of a Stroke Same Day Emergency Care Service on MRI Wait Times and Patient Flow in Mild Stroke Presentations.Cureus · 2025Article
- Effect of previous stroke on quality of inpatient care and long-term mortality risk of non-ST-segment myocardial infarction.European heart journal open · 2025Article
19 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
6 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
backgroundwe project incidence and prevalence of stroke in the UK and associated costs to society to 2035. We include future costs of health care, social care, unpaid care and lost productivity, drawing on recent estimates that there are almost 1 million people living with stroke and the current cost of their care is £26 billion.
methodswe developed a model to produce projections, building on earlier work to estimate the costs of stroke care by age, gender and other characteristics. Our cell-based simulation model uses the 2014-based Office for National Statistics population projections; future trends in incidence and prevalence rates of stroke derived from an expert consultation exercise; and data from the Office for Budget Responsibility on expected future changes in productivity and average earnings.
resultsbetween 2015 and 2035, the number of strokes in the UK per year is projected to increase by 60% and the number of stroke survivors is projected to more than double. Under current patterns of care, the societal cost is projected to almost treble in constant prices over the period. The greatest increase is projected to be in social care costs-both public and private-which we anticipate will rise by as much as 250% between 2015 and 2035.
conclusionthe costs of stroke care in the UK are expected to rise rapidly over the next two decades unless measures to prevent strokes and to reduce the disabling effects of strokes can be successfully developed and implemented.
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Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.