ArticlePloS one2020
Complementarity of empirical and process-based approaches to modelling mosquito population dynamics with Aedes albopictus as an example-Application to the development of an operational mapping tool of vector populations.
Article in PloS one, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 20 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.
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20 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.
- Overview of dengue outbreaks in the southwestern Indian Ocean and analysis of factors involved in the shift toward endemicity in Reunion Island: A systematic review.PLoS neglected tropical diseases · 2022Pooled it
- Environmental and demographic determinants of Aedes albopictus seasonal activity in southern France: A modeling study.PLoS computational biology · 2026Article
- Spatial modeling of the population dynamics of Anopheles mosquitoes in Madagascar.International journal of health geographics · 2025Article
- Aedes albopictus Is Rapidly Invading Its Climatic Niche in France: Wider Implications for Biting Nuisance and Arbovirus Control in Western Europe.Global change biology · 2025Article
- A novel approach to quantify the optimal range and causal effect of rainfall on vector-borne diseases: a case study of dengue epidemics.Journal of the Royal Society, Interface · 2025Article
- Uncovering temperature sensitivity of West Nile virus transmission: Novel computational approaches to mosquito-pathogen trait responses.PLoS computational biology · 2025Article
- Article
- Wolbachia incompatible insect technique program optimization over large spatial scales using a process-based model of mosquito metapopulation dynamics.BMC biology · 2024Article
- The effect of climate change and temperature extremes onJournal of the Royal Society, Interface · 2024Article
- Forecasting the relative abundance of Aedes vector populations to enhance situational awareness for mosquito control operations.PLoS neglected tropical diseases · 2024Article
- Spatial and temporal characterization of Aedes albopictus oviposition activity in candidate urban settings for sterile insect technique testing in La Reunion Island.Infectious diseases of poverty · 2024Article
- Exploring fine-scale urban landscapes using satellite data to predict the distribution of Aedes mosquito breeding sites.International journal of health geographics · 2024Article
- Vector competence of Aedes albopictus field populations from Reunion Island exposed to local epidemic dengue viruses.PloS one · 2024Article
- From dengue outbreaks to endemicity: Reunion Island, France, 2018 to 2021.Euro surveillance : bulletin Europeen sur les maladies transmissibles = European communicable disease bulletin · 2023Article
- Modelling the Potential Human Exposure to Japanese Encephalitis Virus (JEV) in Case of Introduction into Reunion Island.Transboundary and emerging diseases · 2023Article
- Predicting the Effects of Climate Change on Dengue Vector Densities in Southeast Asia through Process-Based Modeling.Environmental health perspectives · 2022Article
- dynamAedes: a unified modelling framework for invasive Aedes mosquitoes.Parasites & vectors · 2022Article
- Spatio-temporal modelling of Culicoides Latreille (Diptera: Ceratopogonidae) populations on Reunion Island (Indian Ocean).Parasites & vectors · 2021Article
- Comparing sterile male releases and other methods for integrated control of the tiger mosquito in temperate and tropical climates.Scientific reports · 2021Article
- Strategic Approach, Advances, and Challenges in the Development and Application of the SIT for Area-Wide Control ofInsects · 2020Review
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11 authors.
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Abstract
Mosquitoes are responsible for the transmission of major pathogens worldwide. Modelling their population dynamics and mapping their distribution can contribute effectively to disease surveillance and control systems. Two main approaches are classically used to understand and predict mosquito abundance in space and time, namely empirical (or statistical) and process-based models. In this work, we used both approaches to model the population dynamics in Reunion Island of the 'Tiger mosquito', Aedes albopictus, a vector of dengue and chikungunya viruses, using rainfall and temperature data. We aimed to i) evaluate and compare the two types of models, and ii) develop an operational tool that could be used by public health authorities and vector control services. Our results showed that Ae. albopictus dynamics in Reunion Island are driven by both rainfall and temperature with a non-linear relationship. The predictions of the two approaches were consistent with the observed abundances of Ae. albopictus aquatic stages. An operational tool with a user-friendly interface was developed, allowing the creation of maps of Ae. albopictus densities over the whole territory using meteorological data collected from a network of weather stations. It is now routinely used by the services in charge of vector control in Reunion Island.
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