Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31945052›Full record

ArticlePLoS neglected tropical diseases2020

Under-detection of blood culture-positive enteric fever cases: The impact of missing data and methods for adjusting incidence estimates.

Merryn Voysey, Dikshya Pant, Mila Shakya, Xinxue Liu, Rachel Colin-Jones, Katherine Theiss-Nyland, Nicola Smith, Shrijana Shrestha, Buddha Basnyat, Andrew J Pollard and 1 more

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in PLoS neglected tropical diseases, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 13 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
13citing papers in PubMed
3.5field-weighted citation impact, top 8% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

13 citing papers in PubMed, 29 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Trial
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Estimating enteric fever seroincidence in Bangladesh using rapid serosurveys.medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences · 2026
    Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Seroincidence of Enteric Fever, Juba, South Sudan.Emerging infectious diseases · 2022
    Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Antimicrobial Resistance in Typhoidal Salmonella: Surveillance for Enteric Fever in Asia Project, 2016-2019.Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America · 2020
    Article
  13. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors at 3 institutions in 3 countries.

Merryn VoyseyOxford Vaccine Group, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0001-6324-6559
Dikshya PantOxford University Clinical Research Unit, Patan Hospital, Kathmandu, Nepal.
Mila ShakyaOxford University Clinical Research Unit, Patan Hospital, Kathmandu, Nepal.
Xinxue LiuOxford Vaccine Group, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom.
Rachel Colin-JonesOxford Vaccine Group, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom.
Katherine Theiss-NylandOxford Vaccine Group, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom.
Nicola SmithOxford Vaccine Group, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom.
Shrijana ShresthaOxford University Clinical Research Unit, Patan Hospital, Kathmandu, Nepal.
Buddha BasnyatOxford University Clinical Research Unit, Patan Hospital, Kathmandu, Nepal.
Andrew J PollardOxford Vaccine Group, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom.
Virginia E PitzerDepartment of Epidemiology of Microbial Diseases, Yale School of Public Health, New Haven, United States of America.
University of Oxford · GBPatan Hospital · NPYale University · US

Funding

Department of Health DRF-2015-08-048Wellcome Trust
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundIn surveillance for typhoid fever, under-detection of cases occurs when patients with fever do not seek medical care, or seek medical care but do not receive a blood test. Missing data may result in incorrect estimates of disease incidence.

methodsWe used data from an ongoing randomised clinical trial of typhoid conjugate vaccine among children in Nepal to determine if eligible patients attending our fever clinics who did not have blood taken for culture had a lower risk of disease than those who had blood drawn. We assessed clinical and demographic predictors of having blood taken for culture, and predictors of culture-positive results. Missing blood culture data were imputed using multiple imputations.

resultsDuring the first year of surveillance, 2392 fever presentations were recorded and 1615 (68%) of these had blood cultures. Children were more likely to have blood taken for culture if they were older, had fever for longer, a current temperature ≥38 degrees, or if typhoid or a urinary tract infection were suspected. Based on imputation models, those with blood cultures were 1.87 times more likely to have blood culture-positive fever than those with missing data.

conclusionClinical opinion on the cause of the fever may play a large part in the decision to offer blood culture, regardless of study protocol. Crude typhoid incidence estimates should be adjusted for the proportion of cases that go undetected due to missing blood cultures while adjusting for the lower likelihood of culture-positivity in the group with missing data.

Indexed as

AdolescentAge FactorsBlood CultureChildChild, PreschoolFemaleFeverFollow-Up StudiesHumansIncidenceInfantMaleMissed DiagnosisNepalParatyphoid FeverSalmonella paratyphi A

Identifiers

PMID31945052
PMCPMC6964825
OpenAlexW2988209978

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.