Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31941823›Full record

ArticleTobacco control2020

The great decline in adolescent cigarette smoking since 2000: consequences for drug use among US adolescents.

Richard Miech, Katherine M Keyes, Patrick M O'Malley, Lloyd D Johnston

Open access · greenAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Tobacco control, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 19 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
19citing papers in PubMed
3.3field-weighted citation impact, top 7% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

19 citing papers in PubMed, 37 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors at 2 institutions in 2 countries.

Richard MiechInstitute for Social Research, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan, USA ramiech@umich.edu.ORCID 0000-0002-2812-1109
Katherine M KeyesColumbia University, New York City, New York, USA.
Patrick M O'MalleyInstitute for Social Research, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan, USA.
Lloyd D JohnstonInstitute for Social Research, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan, USA.
University of Michigan · USCatholic Medical Mission Board · US

Funding

Monitoring the Future: Drug Use & Lifestyles of American Youth (Supp1: Nicotine Pouch and E-cigarette Use Among US Adolescents: National Estimates of Brand Use and Flavor Preferences)R01DA001411 · NIDA · UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN AT ANN ARBOR · PI Richard A Miech · 1985 to 2026
$144.9M
As adolescent substance use declines, internalizing symptoms increase: identifying high-risk substance using groups and the role of social media, parental supervision, and unsupervised timeR01DA048853 · NIDA · COLUMBIA UNIVERSITY HEALTH SCIENCES · PI KEYES, KATHERINE M. · 2019 to 2023
$2.0M
NIDA NIH HHS R01 DA001411NIDA NIH HHS R01 DA048853
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveAdolescent cigarette smoking declined steadily and substantially from 2000 to 2018. This paper considers the potential consequences of this 'great decline' for the prevalence of other drug use among adolescents.

methodsData are annual, cross-sectional, nationally representative Monitoring the Future surveys of more than 1.2 million US students in 12th, 10th and 8th grades from 2000 to 2018. Analyses include trends in the past 12 months' non-medical amphetamine, tranquillisers and opioid use overall, among ever and never cigarette smokers, and projected if adolescent cigarette smoking levels had remained at 2000 levels.

resultsWithin groups of ever and never cigarette smokers, the prevalence for each of the three substances has either changed little or overall increased in 2018 as compared with 2000. When the two groups were combined into one pool, the overall prevalence for each of the drugs declined by about half. The decline resulted from the growing group of never smokers, whose levels of non-medical drug use over the study period were at least four times lower than the levels of ever smokers.

conclusionsThe results support the 'gateway' prediction that declines in cigarette smoking among adolescents pull downward their non-medical use of amphetamines, tranquillisers and opioids. Continuing to reduce adolescent smoking through policy and programmatic prevention efforts should have further positive spillover effects on adolescent drug use.

Indexed as

Cigarette SmokingElectronic Nicotine Delivery SystemsPharmaceutical PreparationsAdolescentCross-Sectional StudiesHumansPrevalenceSmokingStudentsSurveys and QuestionnairesPharmaceutical Preparationsharm reductionpriority/special populationspublic policysurveillance and monitoring

Identifiers

PMID31941823
PMCPMC7363524
OpenAlexW2999045270

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceTDM
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.