Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31941368›Full record

ArticleCirculation. Arrhythmia and electrophysiology2020

Protein Biomarkers and Risk of Atrial Fibrillation: The FHS.

Laila Staerk, Sarah R Preis, Honghuang Lin, Steven A Lubitz, Patrick T Ellinor, Daniel Levy, Emelia J Benjamin, Ludovic Trinquart

Open access · greenAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Circulation. Arrhythmia and electrophysiology, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 42 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
42citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
5.2field-weighted citation impact, top 3% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

42 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 58 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
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  3. Incident heart failure in patients with screening-detected atrial fibrillation: a post hoc analysis of the STROKESTOP and STROKESTOP II studies.Europace : European pacing, arrhythmias, and cardiac electrophysiology : journal of the working groups on cardiac pacing, arrhythmias, and cardiac cellular electrophysiology of the European Society of Cardiology · 2026
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  11. Vascular cell adhesion molecule 1: a marker for atrial fibrillation and heart failure risk.Europace : European pacing, arrhythmias, and cardiac electrophysiology : journal of the working groups on cardiac pacing, arrhythmias, and cardiac cellular electrophysiology of the European Society of Cardiology · 2025
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors at 1 institution in 1 country.

Laila StaerkNational Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute's and Boston University's Framingham Heart Study, MA (L.S., H.L., D.L., E.J.B., L.T.).
Sarah R PreisDepartment of Biostatistics (S.R.P., L.T.), Boston University School of Public Health, MA.
Honghuang LinNational Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute's and Boston University's Framingham Heart Study, MA (L.S., H.L., D.L., E.J.B., L.T.).
Steven A LubitzCardiac Arrhythmia Service and Cardiovascular Research Center, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston (S.A.L., P.T.E.).
Patrick T EllinorCardiac Arrhythmia Service and Cardiovascular Research Center, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston (S.A.L., P.T.E.).
Daniel LevyNational Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute's and Boston University's Framingham Heart Study, MA (L.S., H.L., D.L., E.J.B., L.T.).
Emelia J BenjaminNational Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute's and Boston University's Framingham Heart Study, MA (L.S., H.L., D.L., E.J.B., L.T.).
Ludovic TrinquartNational Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute's and Boston University's Framingham Heart Study, MA (L.S., H.L., D.L., E.J.B., L.T.).
Boston University · US

Funding

Framingham Project/LevyZIAHL006001 · NHLBI · NATIONAL HEART, LUNG, AND BLOOD INSTITUTE · PI LEVY, DANIEL · 2009 to 2025
$51.1M
IDENTIFICATION OF COMMON GENETIC VARIANTS FOR ATRIAL FIBRILLATION AND PR INTERVALR01HL092577 · NHLBI · MASSACHUSETTS GENERAL HOSPITAL · PI BENJAMIN, EMELIA J., ELLINOR, PATRICK THOMAS · 2009 to 2025
$20.6M
Genomics of Cardiac ArrhythmiasR01HL139731 · NHLBI · MASSACHUSETTS GENERAL HOSPITAL · PI ELLINOR, PATRICK THOMAS · 2018 to 2022
$3.3M
AFGen Consortium: Atrial Fibrillation Genomics to Functional AnalysesR01HL128914 · NHLBI · BOSTON UNIVERSITY MEDICAL CAMPUS · PI BENJAMIN, EMELIA J., ELLINOR, PATRICK THOMAS · 2015 to 2018
$3.1M
Mentoring in Arrhythmia ResearchK24HL105780 · NHLBI · MASSACHUSETTS GENERAL HOSPITAL · PI ELLINOR, PATRICK THOMAS · 2011 to 2020
$1.2M
THE FRAMINGHAM HEART STUDY-N01HC25195-268025195-268025195N01HC025195 · HC · TRUSTEES OF BOSTON UNIVERSITY · PI WOLF, PHILIP A · 2002 to 2006
–
NHLBI NIH HHS HHSN268201500001CNHLBI NIH HHS HHSN268201500001INHLBI NIH HHS K24 HL105780NHLBI NIH HHS N01 HC025195NHLBI NIH HHS R01 HL092577NHLBI NIH HHS R01 HL128914NHLBI NIH HHS R01 HL139731
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundIdentification of protein biomarkers associated with incident atrial fibrillation (AF) may improve the understanding of the pathophysiology, risk prediction, and development of new therapeutics for AF. We examined the associations between 85 protein biomarkers and incident AF.

methodsWe included participants ≥50 years of age from the FHS (Framingham Heart Study) Offspring and Third Generation cohorts, who had 85 fasting plasma proteins measured using Luminex xMAP platform. Hazard ratios (per 1 SD increment of rank-normalized biomarker [hazard ratio]) and 95% CIs for incident AF were calculated using Cox regression models adjusted for age, sex, height, weight, current smoking, systolic blood pressure, diastolic blood pressure, hypertension treatment, diabetes mellitus, valvular heart disease, prevalent myocardial infarction, and prevalent heart failure. We used the false discovery rate to account for multiple testing.

resultsThe study sample comprised 3378 participants (54% women) with mean (SD) age of 61.5 (8.4) years. In total, 401 developed AF over a mean follow-up of 12.3±3.8 years. We observed lower hazard of incident AF associated with higher mean levels of IGF1 (insulin-like growth factor 1; hazard ratio per 1 SD increment in protein level, 0.84 [95% CI, 0.76-0.93]), and higher hazard of incident AF associated with higher mean levels of both IGFBP1 (insulin-like growth factor-binding protein 1; hazard ratio, 1.24 [95% CI, 1.1-1.39]) and NT-proBNP (N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide; hazard ratio, 1.73 [95% CI, 1.52-1.96]).

conclusionsDecreased levels of IGF1 and increased levels of IGFBP1 and NT-proBNP were associated with higher risk of incident AF.

Indexed as

AgedAtrial FibrillationBiomarkersBlood ProteinsFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedRisk FactorsBiomarkersBlood Proteinsatrial fibrillationbiomarkersbrain natriuretic peptidehypertensionrisk assessment

Identifiers

PMID31941368
PMCPMC7031024
OpenAlexW3015012380

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.