Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31939789›Full record

ArticleCritical care medicine2020

Early Prediction of Sepsis From Clinical Data: The PhysioNet/Computing in Cardiology Challenge 2019.

Matthew A Reyna, Christopher S Josef, Russell Jeter, Supreeth P Shashikumar, M Brandon Westover, Shamim Nemati, Gari D Clifford, Ashish Sharma

Abstract readMulticenter Study
In one paragraph

Article in Critical care medicine, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 115 papers, 4 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
115citing papers in PubMed, 4 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

115 citing papers in PubMed, 4 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

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55 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Matthew A ReynaDepartment of Biomedical Informatics, Emory University, Atlanta, GA.
Christopher S JosefDepartment of Biomedical Informatics, Emory University, Atlanta, GA.
Russell JeterDepartment of Biomedical Informatics, Emory University, Atlanta, GA.
Supreeth P ShashikumarDepartment of Biomedical Engineering, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA.
M Brandon WestoverDepartment of Neurology, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, MA.
Shamim NematiDepartment of Biomedical Informatics, Emory University, Atlanta, GA.
Gari D CliffordDepartment of Biomedical Informatics, Emory University, Atlanta, GA.
Ashish SharmaDepartment of Biomedical Informatics, Emory University, Atlanta, GA.

Funding

Implementing a Maternal health and PRegnancy Outcomes Vision for Everyone (IMPROVE)UL1TR002378 · NCATS · EMORY UNIVERSITY · PI Andres J Garcia, Elizabeth O. Ofili · 2017 to 2026
$92.1M
TCIA Sustainment and Scalability - Platforms for Quantitative Imaging Informatics in Precision MedicineU24CA215109 · NCI · UNIV OF ARKANSAS FOR MED SCIS · PI BANERJEE, IMON, PRIOR, FRED WILLIAM · 2017 to 2021
$8.5M
Research Resource for Complex Physiologic SignalsR01GM104987 · NIGMS · BETH ISRAEL DEACONESS MEDICAL CENTER · PI GOLDBERGER, ARY LOUIS, MARK, ROGER GREENWOOD · 2012 to 2019
$5.8M
Critical Care Training ProgramT32GM095442 · NIGMS · EMORY UNIVERSITY · PI Craig M Coopersmith · 2011 to 2026
$4.7M
Investigation of Sleep in the Intensive Care Unit (ICU-SLEEP)R01NS102190 · NINDS · MASSACHUSETTS GENERAL HOSPITAL · PI WESTOVER, MICHAEL BRANDON · 2018 to 2022
$3.2M
Big Data and Deep Learning for the Interictal-Ictal-Injury ContiuumR01NS107291 · NINDS · MASSACHUSETTS GENERAL HOSPITAL · PI WESTOVER, MICHAEL BRANDON · 2018 to 2022
$2.8M
Deep Learning and Streaming Analytics for Prediction of Adverse Events in the ICUK01ES025445 · NIEHS · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN DIEGO · PI NEMATI, SHAMIM · 2015 to 2019
$951k
NCATS NIH HHS UL1 TR002378NCI NIH HHS U24 CA215109NIEHS NIH HHS K01 ES025445NIGMS NIH HHS R01 GM104987NIGMS NIH HHS T32 GM095442NINDS NIH HHS R01 NS102190NINDS NIH HHS R01 NS107291
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectivesSepsis is a major public health concern with significant morbidity, mortality, and healthcare expenses. Early detection and antibiotic treatment of sepsis improve outcomes. However, although professional critical care societies have proposed new clinical criteria that aid sepsis recognition, the fundamental need for early detection and treatment remains unmet. In response, researchers have proposed algorithms for early sepsis detection, but directly comparing such methods has not been possible because of different patient cohorts, clinical variables and sepsis criteria, prediction tasks, evaluation metrics, and other differences. To address these issues, the PhysioNet/Computing in Cardiology Challenge 2019 facilitated the development of automated, open-source algorithms for the early detection of sepsis from clinical data.

designParticipants submitted containerized algorithms to a cloud-based testing environment, where we graded entries for their binary classification performance using a novel clinical utility-based evaluation metric. We designed this scoring function specifically for the Challenge to reward algorithms for early predictions and penalize them for late or missed predictions and for false alarms.

settingICUs in three separate hospital systems. We shared data from two systems publicly and sequestered data from all three systems for scoring. PATIENTS: We sourced over 60,000 ICU patients with up to 40 clinical variables for each hour of a patient's ICU stay. We applied Sepsis-3 clinical criteria for sepsis onset.

interventionsNone. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN

resultsA total of 104 groups from academia and industry participated, contributing 853 submissions. Furthermore, 90 abstracts based on Challenge entries were accepted for presentation at Computing in Cardiology.

conclusionsDiverse computational approaches predict the onset of sepsis several hours before clinical recognition, but generalizability to different hospital systems remains a challenge.

Indexed as

AlgorithmsEarly DiagnosisIntensive Care UnitsElectronic Health RecordsFemaleHumansMaleSepsisSeverity of Illness IndexTime FactorsUnited States

Identifiers

PMID31939789
PMCPMC6964870

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.