Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31937196›Full record

ArticleJournal of the American Heart Association2020

Incidence and Predictors of Major Adverse Cardiovascular Events in Patients With Established Atherosclerotic Disease or Multiple Risk Factors.

Benjamin Miao, Adrian V Hernandez, Mark J Alberts, Nicholas Mangiafico, Yuani M Roman, Craig I Coleman

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of the American Heart Association, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 65 papers, 4 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
65citing papers in PubMed, 4 pooled it
10.2field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

65 citing papers in PubMed, 4 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 122 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
  3. Pooled it
  4. Pooled it
  5. Trial
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Observational
  13. Article
  14. Persistent high major adverse cardiac outcome of 7% with chronic total occlusion intervention in patients with stable coronary artery disease.Netherlands heart journal : monthly journal of the Netherlands Society of Cardiology and the Netherlands Heart Foundation · 2026
    Article
  15. Article
  16. Article
  17. Article
  18. Article
  19. Article
  20. Review

5 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors at 2 institutions in 2 countries.

Benjamin MiaoUniversity of Connecticut School of Pharmacy Storrs CT.
Adrian V HernandezUniversity of Connecticut School of Pharmacy Storrs CT.
Mark J AlbertsNeuroscience Institute Hartford Hospital Hartford CT.
Nicholas MangiaficoUniversity of Connecticut School of Pharmacy Storrs CT.
Yuani M RomanHartford Hospital Evidence-Based Practice Center Hartford CT.
Craig I ColemanUniversity of Connecticut School of Pharmacy Storrs CT.
Hartford Hospital · USUniversity of Connecticut · US

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Background There is a paucity of contemporary data estimating the incidence of major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) in patients with established atherosclerotic disease or multiple risk factors managed in routine practice. We estimated 1- and 4-year incidences of MACE and the association between MACE and vascular beds affected in these patients. Methods and Results Using US IBM MarketScan data from January 1, 2013 to December 31, 2017, we identified patients ≥45 years old with established coronary artery disease, cerebrovascular disease, peripheral artery disease, or the presence of ≥3 risk factors for atherosclerosis during 2013 with a minimum of 4 years of follow-up. We calculated 1- and 4-year incidences of MACE (cardiovascular death or hospitalization for myocardial infarction or ischemic stroke). A Cox proportional hazards regression model adjusted for age and sex was used to evaluate the association between vascular bed number/location(s) affected and MACE. We identified 1 302 856 patients with established atherosclerotic disease or risk factors for atherosclerosis. Coronary artery disease was present in 16.9% of patients, cerebrovascular disease in 7.6%, peripheral artery disease in 13.6%, and risk factors for atherosclerosis only in 66.0%. The 1- and 4-year incidences of MACE were 1.4% and 6.9%, respectively. At 4 years, MACE was more frequent in patients with atherosclerotic disease in a single (hazard ratio=1.51, 95% CI=1.48-1.55), 2-(hazard ratio=2.35, 95% CI=2.27-2.44), or all 3 vascular beds (hazard ratio=3.30, 95% CI=2.97-3.68) compared with having risk factors for atherosclerosis. Conclusions Patients with established atherosclerotic disease or who have multiple risk factors and are treated in contemporary, routine practice carry a substantial risk for MACE at 1- and 4- years of follow-up. MACE risk was shown to vary based on the number and location of vascular beds involved.

Indexed as

AgedAged, 80 and overAtherosclerosisCerebrovascular DisordersCoronary Artery DiseaseDatabases, FactualFemaleHeart Disease Risk FactorsHumansIncidenceMaleMiddle AgedPeripheral Arterial DiseasePrognosisRetrospective StudiesRisk Assessmentcerebrovascular diseasecoronary artery diseaseestablished atherosclerotic diseasemajor adverse cardiovascular eventsperipheral artery diseaserisk factors

Identifiers

PMID31937196
PMCPMC7033849
OpenAlexW3000325612

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.