Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31932891›Full record

ArticleJournal of gastroenterology2020

An update on primary sclerosing cholangitis epidemiology, outcomes and quantification of alkaline phosphatase variability in a population-based cohort.

Zeinab Bakhshi, Moira B Hilscher, Gregory J Gores, William S Harmsen, Jason K Viehman, Nicholas F LaRusso, Andrea A Gossard, Konstantinos N Lazaridis, Keith D Lindor, John E Eaton

Open access · greenAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of gastroenterology, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 25 papers, 3 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
25citing papers in PubMed, 3 pooled it
3.1field-weighted citation impact, top 8% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

25 citing papers in PubMed, 3 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 34 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
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  7. Large duct primary sclerosing cholangitis with or without inflammatory bowel disease in Saudi patients.Saudi journal of gastroenterology : official journal of the Saudi Gastroenterology Association · 2025
    Article
  8. Article
  9. Primary sclerosing cholangitis.Nature reviews. Disease primers · 2025
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  20. Cholangiocarcinoma and liver transplantation: What we know so far?World journal of gastrointestinal pathophysiology · 2021
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

Zeinab BakhshiDivision of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Mayo Clinic College of Medicine, 200 1st Street SW, Rochester, MN, 55905, USA.
Moira B HilscherDivision of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Mayo Clinic College of Medicine, 200 1st Street SW, Rochester, MN, 55905, USA.
Gregory J GoresDivision of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Mayo Clinic College of Medicine, 200 1st Street SW, Rochester, MN, 55905, USA.
William S HarmsenDivision of Biomedical Statistics and Informatics, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, MN, USA.
Jason K ViehmanDivision of Biomedical Statistics and Informatics, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, MN, USA.
Nicholas F LaRussoDivision of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Mayo Clinic College of Medicine, 200 1st Street SW, Rochester, MN, 55905, USA.
Andrea A GossardDivision of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Mayo Clinic College of Medicine, 200 1st Street SW, Rochester, MN, 55905, USA.
Konstantinos N LazaridisDivision of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Mayo Clinic College of Medicine, 200 1st Street SW, Rochester, MN, 55905, USA.
Keith D LindorDepartment of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Arizona State University College of Health Solutions, Phoenix, AZ, USA.
John E EatonDivision of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Mayo Clinic College of Medicine, 200 1st Street SW, Rochester, MN, 55905, USA. Eaton.John@mayo.edu.
Mayo Clinic · USArizona State University · US

Funding

PILOT AND FEASIBILTY PROGRAMP30DK084567 · NIDDK · MAYO CLINIC ROCHESTER · PI GREGORY J. GORES · 2009 to 2026
$22.2M
NIDDK NIH HHS P30 DK084567
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundContemporary primary sclerosing cholangitis (PSC) population-based cohorts describing the epidemiology, natural history, and long-term fluctuations in serum alkaline phosphatase (SAP) and their prognostic relevance are lacking. Therefore, we investigated the incidence and natural history of PSC and quantified SAP fluctuations among those with PSC in Olmsted County, Minnesota over the last 41 years.

methodsThe Rochester Epidemiology Project was used to identify 56 subjects diagnosed with PSC between 1976 and 2017 in Olmsted County. The primary endpoint (n = 19) included liver transplantation, hepatic decompensation, and cholangiocarcinoma.

resultsThe age- and sex-adjusted incidence of PSC (per 100,000 person years) nearly doubled from 2001 to 2017 compared to 1976-2000 (1.47; 95% CI 0.99-1.96 versus 0.79; 95% CI 0.42-1.16, p = 0.02). This increase paralleled a rise in patients with markers of a milder phenotype at the time of diagnosis: normal SAP (26.32% versus 0%, p < 0.01) and lower Mayo PSC risk score [0.36 (- 0.57 to 1.55) versus - 0.50 (- 1.25 to 0.35), p = 0.03]. Intra-individual SAP fluctuates with a median coefficient of variation of 36.20%. SAP normalization and dropping below 1.5 × upper limit of normal (ULN) occurs at a rate of 5% and 10% per year, respectively. SAP less than 1.5 × ULN was associated with a lower risk of PSC-related complications (hazard ratio 0.11; 95% CI 0.03-0.42).

conclusionsThe patients with PSC are increasingly being diagnosed with a milder phenotype. While a lower SAP is associated with improved outcomes, the high intra-individual variation of SAP levels calls into question the practice of using a single SAP value as a surrogate endpoint in clinical trials.

Indexed as

AdultAlkaline PhosphataseBile Duct NeoplasmsBiomarkersCholangiocarcinomaCholangitis, SclerosingCohort StudiesFemaleHumansIncidenceLiver TransplantationMaleMiddle AgedPrognosisYoung AdultAlkaline PhosphataseBiomarkersCholangiocarcinomaCirrhosisEpidemiologyLiver function testsPrimary sclerosing cholangitis

Identifiers

PMID31932891
PMCPMC8157157
OpenAlexW2999002972

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceTDM
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.