Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31932612›Full record

ArticleNature communications2020

Climate econometric models indicate solar geoengineering would reduce inter-country income inequality.

Anthony R Harding, Katharine Ricke, Daniel Heyen, Douglas G MacMartin, Juan Moreno-Cruz

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature communications, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 5 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
5citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

5 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Impact of solar geoengineering on temperature-attributable mortality.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2024
    Article
  2. Article
  3. Scenarios for modeling solar radiation modification.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2022
    Article
  4. Article
  5. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Anthony R HardingSchool of Global Policy and Strategy, University of California, San Diego, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-6289-8253
Katharine RickeSchool of Global Policy and Strategy, University of California, San Diego, USA. kricke@ucsd.edu.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-2780-7213
Daniel HeyenCenter of Economic Research, ETH Zürich, Zürich, Switzerland.
Douglas G MacMartinMechanical and Aerospace Engineering, Cornell University, Ithaca, USA.
Juan Moreno-CruzSchool of Environment, Enterprise and Development, University of Waterloo, Waterloo, Canada.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-3707-142X

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Exploring heterogeneity in the economic impacts of solar geoengineering is a fundamental step towards understanding the risk tradeoff associated with a geoengineering option. To evaluate impacts of solar geoengineering and greenhouse gas-driven climate change on equal terms, we apply macroeconomic impact models that have been widely applied to climate change impacts assessment. Combining historical evidence with climate simulations of mean annual temperature and precipitation, we project socio-economic outcomes under high anthropogenic emissions for stylized climate scenarios in which global temperatures are stabilized or over-cooled by blocking solar radiation. We find impacts of climate changes on global GDP-per-capita by the end of the century are temperature-driven, highly dispersed, and model dependent. Across all model specifications, however, income inequality between countries is lower with solar geoengineering. Consistent reduction in inter-country inequality can inform discussions of the distribution of impacts of solar geoengineering, a topic of concern in geoengineering ethics and governance debates.

Identifiers

PMID31932612
PMCPMC6957473

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.