Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31931901›Full record

ArticlePsychological medicine2021

25-year follow-up of treated and not-treated adolescents after the Spitak earthquake: course and predictors of PTSD and depression.

Armen K Goenjian, Alan M Steinberg, David Walling, Sheryl Bishop, Ida Karayan, Robert Pynoos

Erratum issuedAbstract readComparative Study
In one paragraph

Article in Psychological medicine, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. An erratum has been issued. Cited by 16 papers, 4 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
16citing papers in PubMed, 4 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

16 citing papers in PubMed, 4 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
  3. Determinants of multimorbidity in low- and middle-income countries: A systematic review of longitudinal studies and discovery of evidence gaps.Obesity reviews : an official journal of the International Association for the Study of Obesity · 2024
    Pooled it
  4. Pooled it
  5. Article
  6. Longitudinal effects of bushfire harm on adolescent mental health.The Australian and New Zealand journal of psychiatry · 2026
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  14. Trauma-Informed Care for Hospitalized Adolescents.Current pediatrics reports · 2022
    Review
  15. PTSD: Past, present and future implications for China.Chinese journal of traumatology = Zhonghua chuang shang za zhi · 2021
    Review
  16. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Armen K GoenjianDepartment of Psychiatry and Biobehavioral Sciences, UCLA/Duke University National Center for Child Traumatic Stress, University of California, Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA, USA.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8129-6581
Alan M SteinbergDepartment of Psychiatry and Biobehavioral Sciences, UCLA/Duke University National Center for Child Traumatic Stress, University of California, Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA, USA.
David WallingCollaborative Neuroscience Network, Garden Grove, CA, USA.
Sheryl BishopSchool of Nursing, University of Texas Medical Branch at Galveston, Galveston, TX, USA.
Ida KarayanPsychiatric Outreach Program, Armenian Relief Society, Long Beach, CA, USA.
Robert PynoosDepartment of Psychiatry and Biobehavioral Sciences, UCLA/Duke University National Center for Child Traumatic Stress, University of California, Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA, USA.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThere is a paucity of long-term prospective disaster studies of the psychological sequelae among survivors.

methodsAt 1½ and 25 years after the Spitak earthquake, 142 early adolescents from two cities were assessed: Gumri (moderate-severe exposure) and Spitak (very severe exposure). The Gumri group included treated and not-treated subjects, while the Spitak group included not-treated subjects. Instruments included: DSM-III-R PTSD-Reaction Index (PTSD-RI); DSM-5 PTSD-Checklist (PCL); Depression Self-Rating Scale (DSRS); and Center for Epidemiological Studies-Depression Scale (CES-D).

results(1) Between 1½ and 25 years, PTSD rates and mean scores decreased significantly in the three groups (over 50%). However, at 25 years 9.1-22.4% met DSM-5 PTSD criteria. (2) At 1½ years, the Spitak group had higher PTSD-RI (p < 0.001) and DSRS scores (p < 0.001) compared to the Gumri-not-treated group. At 25 years, the Spitak group that had experienced fewer post-earthquake adversities (p < 0.03), had a greater decrease in PTSD-RI scores (p < 0.02), and lower CES-D scores (p < 0.01). (3) Before treatment, PTSD-RI and DSRS scores did not differ between the Gumri-treated and not-treated groups. At 25-years, the Gumri-treated group showed a greater decrease in PTSD-RI scores (p < 0.03), and lower mean PTSD-RI (p < 0.02), PCL (p < 0.02), and CES-D (p < 0.01) scores. (4) Predictors of PTSD symptom severity at 25-years included: home destruction, treatment, social support, post-earthquake adversities, and chronic medical illnesses.

conclusionPost-disaster PTSD and depressive symptoms can persist for decades. Trauma-focused treatment, alleviation of post-disaster adversities, improving the social ecology, and monitoring for chronic medical illnesses are essential components of recovery programs.

Indexed as

EarthquakesAdolescentAdultArmeniaDepressionFemaleFollow-Up StudiesHumansMaleRisk FactorsSeverity of Illness IndexStress Disorders, Post-TraumaticSurveys and QuestionnairesYoung AdultDepressiondisasterearthquakelongitudinal studyPTSDrisk and protective factors

Identifiers

PMID31931901
PMCPMC8161430

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.