Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31930383›Full record

ArticleThe Journal of infectious diseases2020

Design and Analysis of Elimination Surveys for Neglected Tropical Diseases.

Claudio Fronterre, Benjamin Amoah, Emanuele Giorgi, Michelle C Stanton, Peter J Diggle

Registry-linked trialAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in The Journal of infectious diseases, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to trial NCT06808789 (Mapping Snakebite Risk in Ghana and Rwanda), which is not on this map. Cited by 38 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
38citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT06808789 not yet recruitingnot on this mapstarted 2025, after this paper: background citation

Mapping Snakebite Risk in Ghana and Rwanda: Using Primary Data Collection and Geostatistical Techniques to Develop an Approach to Risk Estimation for Snakebite

TypeobservationalSponsorLiverpool School of Tropical MedicineRan2025 to 2026Enrolled32,000ConditionsSnakebite, Snake Envenomation
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

38 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
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  13. A Comparison of Markov and Mechanistic Models for Soil-Transmitted Helminth Prevalence Projections in the Context of Survey Design.Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America · 2024
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  15. Modernizing the design and analysis of prevalence surveys for neglected tropical diseases.Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences · 2023
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Claudio FronterreCentre for Health Informatics, Computing and Statistics, Lancaster University, Lancaster, United Kingdom.
Benjamin AmoahCentre for Health Informatics, Computing and Statistics, Lancaster University, Lancaster, United Kingdom.
Emanuele GiorgiCentre for Health Informatics, Computing and Statistics, Lancaster University, Lancaster, United Kingdom.
Michelle C StantonCentre for Health Informatics, Computing and Statistics, Lancaster University, Lancaster, United Kingdom.
Peter J DiggleCentre for Health Informatics, Computing and Statistics, Lancaster University, Lancaster, United Kingdom.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

As neglected tropical diseases approach elimination status, there is a need to develop efficient sampling strategies for confirmation (or not) that elimination criteria have been met. This is an inherently difficult task because the relative precision of a prevalence estimate deteriorates as prevalence decreases, and classic survey sampling strategies based on random sampling therefore require increasingly large sample sizes. More efficient strategies for survey design and analysis can be obtained by exploiting any spatial correlation in prevalence within a model-based geostatistics framework. This framework can be used for constructing predictive probability maps that can inform in-country decision makers of the likelihood that their elimination target has been met, and where to invest in additional sampling. We evaluated our methodology using a case study of lymphatic filariasis in Ghana, demonstrating that a geostatistical approach outperforms approaches currently used to determine an evaluation unit's elimination status.

Indexed as

Tropical MedicineComputer SimulationData CollectionDisease EradicationHumansModels, BiologicalNeglected DiseasesPrevalencedisease mappingelimination surveysgeostatisticsneglected tropical diseasespredictions

Identifiers

PMID31930383
PMCPMC7289555

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.