Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31918439›Full record

ArticleClinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America2021

The Limited Utility of Ranking Hospitals Based on Their Colon Surgery Infection Rates.

Daniel A Caroff, Rui Wang, Zilu Zhang, Robert Wolf, Ed Septimus, Anthony D Harris, Sarah S Jackson, Russell E Poland, Jason Hickok, Susan S Huang and 1 more

Open access · hybridAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 9 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
9citing papers in PubMed
2.1field-weighted citation impact, top 11% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

9 citing papers in PubMed, 19 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Article
  2. Variable selection in modelling clustered data via within-cluster resampling.The Canadian journal of statistics = Revue canadienne de statistique · 2025
    Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Antimicrobial approach of abdominal post-surgical infections.World journal of gastrointestinal surgery · 2023
    Review
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors at 6 institutions in 1 country.

Daniel A CaroffDepartment of Population Medicine, Harvard Medical School and the Harvard Pilgrim Healthcare Institute, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.
Rui WangDepartment of Population Medicine, Harvard Medical School and the Harvard Pilgrim Healthcare Institute, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.
Zilu ZhangDepartment of Population Medicine, Harvard Medical School and the Harvard Pilgrim Healthcare Institute, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.
Robert WolfDepartment of Population Medicine, Harvard Medical School and the Harvard Pilgrim Healthcare Institute, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.
Ed SeptimusDepartment of Population Medicine, Harvard Medical School and the Harvard Pilgrim Healthcare Institute, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.
Anthony D HarrisUniversity of Maryland School of Medicine, Baltimore, Maryland, USA.
Sarah S JacksonUniversity of Maryland School of Medicine, Baltimore, Maryland, USA.
Russell E PolandDepartment of Population Medicine, Harvard Medical School and the Harvard Pilgrim Healthcare Institute, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.
Jason HickokOndine Biomedical Inc., McHenry, Illinois, USA.
Susan S HuangDepartment of Population Medicine, Harvard Medical School and the Harvard Pilgrim Healthcare Institute, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.
Richard PlattDepartment of Population Medicine, Harvard Medical School and the Harvard Pilgrim Healthcare Institute, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.
Harvard University · USHarvard Pilgrim Health Care · USUniversity of Maryland, Baltimore · USHCA Healthcare · USMcHenry County College · USUniversity of California, Irvine · US

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThe Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS) use colon surgical site infection (SSI) rates to rank hospitals and apply financial penalties. The CMS' risk-adjustment model omits potentially impactful variables that might disadvantage hospitals with complex surgical populations.

methodsWe analyzed adult patients who underwent colon surgery within facilities associated with HCA Healthcare from 2014 to 2016. SSIs were identified from National Health Safety Network (NHSN) reporting. We trained and validated 3 SSI prediction models, using (1) current CMS model variables, including hospital-specific random effects (HCA-adapted CMS model); (2) demographics and claims-based comorbidities (expanded-claims model); and (3) demographics, claims-based comorbidities, and NHSN variables (claims-plus-electronic health record [EHR] model). Discrimination, calibration, and resulting rankings were compared among all models and the current CMS model with published coefficient values.

resultsWe identified 39 468 colon surgeries in 149 hospitals, resulting in 1216 (3.1%) SSIs. Compared to the HCA-adapted CMS model, the expanded-claims model had similar performance (c-statistic, 0.65 vs 0.67, respectively), while the claims-plus-EHR model was more accurate (c-statistic, 0.70; 95% confidence interval, .67-.73; P = .004). The sampling variation, due to the low surgical volume and small number of infections, contributed 74% of the total variation in observed SSI rates between hospitals. When CMS model rankings were compared to those from the expanded-claims and claims-plus-EHR models, 18 (15%) and 26 (22%) hospitals changed quartiles, respectively, and 10 (8.3%) and 12 (10%) hospitals changed into or out of the lowest-performing quartile, respectively.

conclusionsAn expanded set of variables improved colon SSI risk predictions and quartile assignments, but low procedure volumes and SSI events remain a barrier to effectively comparing hospitals.

Indexed as

Digestive System Surgical ProceduresMedicareAdultAgedColonHospitalsHumansRetrospective StudiesSurgical Wound InfectionUnited Statescolon surgeryrisk adjustmentsurgical site infection

Identifiers

PMID31918439
PMCPMC7823072
OpenAlexW2999144327

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.