Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31918324›Full record

Observational studyBreast (Edinburgh, Scotland)2020

Statistical modelling of HER2-positivity in breast cancer: Final analyses from two large, multicentre, non-interventional studies in Germany.

Josef Rüschoff, Annette Lebeau, Peter Sinn, Hans-Ulrich Schildhaus, Thomas Decker, Johannes Ammann, Claudia Künzel, Winfried Koch, Michael Untch

Registry-linked trialAbstract readObservational StudyValidation Study
In one paragraph

Observational study in Breast (Edinburgh, Scotland), 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to trial NCT02666261 (A Non-interventional Study on the Epidemiology and Testing of HER2 in Breast Cancer in Germany), which is not on this map. Cited by 3 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT02666261 completednot on this map

A Non-interventional Study on the Epidemiology and Testing of HER2 in Breast Cancer in Germany

TypeobservationalSponsorHoffmann-La RocheRan2016 to 2018Enrolled15,000ConditionsBreast Cancer
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

Josef RüschoffInstitut für Pathologie Nordhessen and Targos Molecular Pathology GmbH, Germaniastr. 7, D-34119, Kassel, Germany. Electronic address: rueschoff@patho-nordhessen.de.
Annette LebeauInstitut für Pathologie, Universitätsklinikum Hamburg-Eppendorf, Martinistr. 52, 20246, Hamburg, Germany; Gemeinschaftspraxis für Pathologie, Pferdemarkt 12, 23552, Lübeck, Germany. Electronic address: a.lebeau@uke.de.
Peter SinnSektion Gynäkopathologie, Pathologisches Institut der Universität Heidelberg, Im Neuenheimer Feld 224, 69124, Heidelberg, Germany. Electronic address: Peter.Sinn@med.uni-heidelberg.de.
Hans-Ulrich SchildhausInstitute of Pathology, University Medical Center Göttingen, Robert-Koch-Straße 40, 37075, Göttingen, Germany.
Thomas DeckerDepartment of Surgical Pathology, Dietrich Bonhoeffer Medical Center, Allendestrasse 30, 17036, Neubrandenburg, Germany. Electronic address: thomas.decker@bonhoeffer-klinikum-neubrandenburg.de.
Johannes AmmannRoche Pharma AG, Emil-Barell-Str. 1, 79639, Grenzach-Wyhlen, Germany. Electronic address: johannes.ammann@roche.com.
Claudia KünzelRoche Pharma AG, Emil-Barell-Str. 1, 79639, Grenzach-Wyhlen, Germany.
Winfried KochBDS Koch, Bibienastraße 5, 68723, Schwetzingen, Germany. Electronic address: winfried.koch@bdskoch.de.
Michael UntchHELIOS Klinikum Berlin-Buch, Schwanebecker Chaussee 50, D-13125, Berlin, Germany. Electronic address: michael.untch@helios-gesundheit.de.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThe German NIU HER2 model was developed based on five variables found to have statistically significant influences on HER2-positivity, to allow exploration of deviations between model-predicted and actual HER2-positivity rates as a measure of testing quality. The prospective, non-interventional EPI HER2 BC study (NCT02666261) compared NIU and EPI data, aiming to validate the NIU model.

methodsHER2 status and patient-/tumour-related information were collected from eligible patients with invasive breast cancer. The influence of variables on HER2-positivity was compared between studies and the NIU model validated using EPI data with cut-off and variable coefficients from the NIU study. The influences of additional variables, centre effects and laboratory-specific parameters were also explored.

resultsThe study included 14,729 EPI and 15,281 NIU samples; HER2-positivity rates were comparable (13.5% versus 14.2%). The five covariates from NIU were shown to significantly affect HER2-positivity using EPI data. The Youden Index for the NIU model refitted to EPI data (0.3632) and the NIU model for prediction of HER2-positivity in EPI (0.3552) was close to that for the NIU model fitted to NIU data (0.3888), validating the NIU model. Replacing hormone receptor status with progesterone and oestrogen receptor expression, and adding method of sample extraction as a variable improved the model's predictive strength (ROC AUC 0.7402; Youden Index 0.3935).

conclusionsReliable, high-quality HER2-testing methods are essential for selection of patients with HER2-positive breast cancer for HER2-tageted treatment. Integration of our model into a locally used software or website may improve its viability for use in clinical practice.

Indexed as

Models, StatisticalAdultAgedAged, 80 and overBreast NeoplasmsCarcinoma, Ductal, BreastErb-b2 Receptor Tyrosine KinasesFemaleGermanyHumansImmunohistochemistryMiddle AgedMulticenter Studies as TopicReproducibility of ResultsRetrospective StudiesErb-b2 Receptor Tyrosine KinasesBreast: Diagnostic (and) imagingBreast: PathologyHER2ImmunohistochemistryIn situ hybridisationInvasive breast cancerQuality controlStatistical modelling

Identifiers

PMID31918324
PMCPMC7375682

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Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.