Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31912875›Full record

ArticleClinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America2020

Cerebrospinal Fluid Early Fungicidal Activity as a Surrogate Endpoint for Cryptococcal Meningitis Survival in Clinical Trials.

Matthew F Pullen, Katherine Huppler Hullsiek, Joshua Rhein, Abdu K Musubire, Lillian Tugume, Edwin Nuwagira, Mahsa Abassi, Kenneth Ssebambulidde, Edward Mpoza, Ruben Kiggundu and 14 more

Open access · bronzeAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 22 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
22citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
2.6field-weighted citation impact, top 9% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

22 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 28 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
  3. Evaluating the Use of Lower Dose Flucytosine for the Treatment of Cryptococcal Meningitis: A Clinical Trial.Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America · 2026
    Trial
  4. Oral Lipid Nanocrystal Amphotericin B for Cryptococcal Meningitis: A Randomized Clinical Trial.Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America · 2023
    Trial
  5. How Applicable Is the Single-Dose AMBITION Regimen for Human Immunodeficiency Virus-Associated Cryptococcal Meningitis to High-Income Settings?Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America · 2023
    Trial
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Review
  9. Review
  10. Comparison of Early Fungicidal Activity and Mortality Between Daily Liposomal Amphotericin B and Daily Amphotericin B Deoxycholate for Cryptococcal Meningitis.Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America · 2025
    Article
  11. Article
  12. Review
  13. Review
  14. Article
  15. Article
  16. Cryptococcal meningitis.Nature reviews. Disease primers · 2023
    Review
  17. Article
  18. Article
  19. Article
  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

24 authors at 4 institutions in 3 countries.

Matthew F PullenDivision of Infectious Diseases and International Medicine, University of Minnesota, Minneapolis, MN, USA.
Katherine Huppler HullsiekDivision of Infectious Diseases and International Medicine, University of Minnesota, Minneapolis, MN, USA.
Joshua RheinDivision of Infectious Diseases and International Medicine, University of Minnesota, Minneapolis, MN, USA.
Abdu K MusubireInfectious Diseases Institute, Makerere University, Kampala, Uganda.
Lillian TugumeInfectious Diseases Institute, Makerere University, Kampala, Uganda.
Edwin NuwagiraDepartment of Medicine, Mbarara University of Science and Technology, Mbarara, Uganda.
Mahsa AbassiDivision of Infectious Diseases and International Medicine, University of Minnesota, Minneapolis, MN, USA.
Kenneth SsebambuliddeInfectious Diseases Institute, Makerere University, Kampala, Uganda.
Edward MpozaInfectious Diseases Institute, Makerere University, Kampala, Uganda.
Ruben KiggunduInfectious Diseases Institute, Makerere University, Kampala, Uganda.
Andrew AkampuriraInfectious Diseases Institute, Makerere University, Kampala, Uganda.
Henry W NabetaInfectious Diseases Institute, Makerere University, Kampala, Uganda.
Charlotte SchutzWellcome Centre for Infectious Diseases Research in Africa, Institute of Infectious Disease and Molecular Medicine, and Department of Medicine, University of Cape Town, South Africa.
Emily E EvansDepartment of Medicine, Mbarara University of Science and Technology, Mbarara, Uganda.
Radha RajasinghamDivision of Infectious Diseases and International Medicine, University of Minnesota, Minneapolis, MN, USA.
Caleb P SkipperDivision of Infectious Diseases and International Medicine, University of Minnesota, Minneapolis, MN, USA.
Katelyn A PastickDivision of Infectious Diseases and International Medicine, University of Minnesota, Minneapolis, MN, USA.
Darlisha A WilliamsDivision of Infectious Diseases and International Medicine, University of Minnesota, Minneapolis, MN, USA.
Bozena M MorawskiDivision of Infectious Diseases and International Medicine, University of Minnesota, Minneapolis, MN, USA.
Ananta S BangdiwalaDivision of Infectious Diseases and International Medicine, University of Minnesota, Minneapolis, MN, USA.
Graeme MeintjesWellcome Centre for Infectious Diseases Research in Africa, Institute of Infectious Disease and Molecular Medicine, and Department of Medicine, University of Cape Town, South Africa.
Conrad MuzooraDepartment of Medicine, Mbarara University of Science and Technology, Mbarara, Uganda.
David B MeyaDivision of Infectious Diseases and International Medicine, University of Minnesota, Minneapolis, MN, USA.
David R BoulwareDivision of Infectious Diseases and International Medicine, University of Minnesota, Minneapolis, MN, USA.
University of Minnesota · USInfectious Diseases Institute · UGMbarara University of Science and Technology · UGUniversity of Cape Town · ZA

Funding

Improving Diagnostics and Neurocognitive Outcomes in HIV/AIDS-related MeningitisR01NS086312 · NINDS · UNIVERSITY OF MINNESOTA · PI David R Boulware, David Bisagaya Meya · 2013 to 2026
$8.3M
Trial for the Optimal Timing of HIV Therapy after Cryptococcal MeningitisU01AI089244 · NIAID · UNIVERSITY OF MINNESOTA · PI BOULWARE, DAVID R · 2010 to 2014
$7.6M
Infectious Disease Training in Clinical InvestigationT32AI055433 · NIAID · UNIVERSITY OF MINNESOTA TWIN CITIES · PI David R Boulware · 2003 to 2026
$6.1M
Northern/Pacific Universities Global Health Research Training ConsortiumR25TW009345 · FIC · UNIVERSITY OF WASHINGTON · PI KOLARS, JOSEPH C., NERURKAR, VIVEK RAMCHANDRA · 2012 to 2016
$5.9M
Encochleated Oral Amphotericin for Cryptococcal Meningitis TrialR01NS110519 · NINDS · UNIVERSITY OF MINNESOTA · PI BOULWARE, DAVID R, MEYA, DAVID BISAGAYA · 2019 to 2022
$2.6M
Evaluation of CRAG screening with enhanced antifungal therapy for asymptomatic CRAG-positive personsK23AI138851 · NIAID · UNIVERSITY OF MINNESOTA · PI RAJASINGHAM, RADHA · 2018 to 2022
$954k
Improving Outcomes of HIV-Associated Cryptococcosis in Resource-Limited SettingsK01TW010268 · FIC · UNIVERSITY OF MINNESOTA · PI RHEIN, JOSHUA R · 2016 to 2020
$703k
Epidemiology, Immunopathogenesis, and Outcomes of Non-traumatic Spinal Cord Injury in UgandaK43TW010718 · FIC · INFECTIOUS DISEASES INSTITUTE · PI MUSUBIRE, ABDU KISEKKA · 2017 to 2021
$514k
Medical Student Summer Research Program in Infection and ImmunityT35AI118620 · NIAID · UNIVERSITY OF MINNESOTA · PI MUELLER, DANIEL L · 2015 to 2025
$351k
FIC NIH HHS K01 TW010268FIC NIH HHS K43 TW010718FIC NIH HHS R25 TW009345Medical Research Council MR/M007413/1NIAID NIH HHS K23 AI138851NIAID NIH HHS T32 AI055433NIAID NIH HHS T35 AI118620NIAID NIH HHS U01 AI089244NINDS NIH HHS R01 NS086312NINDS NIH HHS R01 NS110519Wellcome Trust 098316Wellcome Trust 203135/Z/16/Z
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundIn cryptococcal meningitis phase 2 clinical trials, early fungicidal activity (EFA) of Cryptococcus clearance from cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) is used as a surrogate endpoint for all-cause mortality. The Food and Drug Administration allows for using surrogate endpoints for accelerated regulatory approval, but EFA as a surrogate endpoint requires further validation. We examined the relationship between rate of CSF Cryptococcus clearance (EFA) and mortality through 18 weeks.

methodsWe pooled individual-level CSF data from 3 sequential cryptococcal meningitis clinical trials conducted during 2010-2017. All 738 subjects received amphotericin + fluconazole induction therapy and had serial quantitative CSF cultures. The log10-transformed colony-forming units (CFUs) per mL CSF were analyzed by general linear regression versus day of culture over the first 10 days.

resultsMortality through 18 weeks was 37% for EFA > = 0.60 (n = 170), 36% for 0.40-0.59 (n = 182), 39% for 0.30-0.39 (n = 112), 35% for 0.20-0.29 (n = 87), and 50% for those with EFA < 0.20 CFU/mL/day (n = 187). The hazard ratio for 18-week mortality, comparing those with EFA < 0.20 to those with EFA > = 0.20, was 1.60 (95% confidence interval, 1.25, 2.04; P = .002). The lowest EFA group had lower median CD4 T-cell counts (P < .01) and lower proportion of patients with CSF pleocytosis (P < .001).

conclusionsEFA is associated with all-cause mortality in cryptococcal meningitis. An EFA threshold of > = 0.20 log10 CFU/mL/day was associated with similar 18-week mortality (37%) compared to 50% mortality with EFA < 0.20. This EFA threshold may be considered a target for a surrogate endpoint. This builds upon existing studies to validate EFA as a surrogate endpoint.

Indexed as

HIV InfectionsMeningitis, CryptococcalAmphotericin BAntifungal AgentsBiomarkersCerebrospinal FluidFluconazoleHumansAmphotericin BAntifungal AgentsBiomarkersFluconazolecryptococcal meningitiscryptococcusearly fungicidal activitymeningitissurrogate endpoint

Identifiers

PMID31912875
PMCPMC7755087
OpenAlexW2999779152

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.