Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31910437›Full record

Observational studyPloS one2020

Development and validation of a prognostic model predicting symptomatic hemorrhagic transformation in acute ischemic stroke at scale in the OHDSI network.

Qiong Wang, Jenna M Reps, Kristin Feeney Kostka, Patrick B Ryan, Yuhui Zou, Erica A Voss, Peter R Rijnbeek, RuiJun Chen, Gowtham A Rao, Henry Morgan Stewart and 13 more

Open access · goldAbstract readMulticenter StudyObservational StudyValidation Study
In one paragraph

Observational study in PloS one, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 23 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
23citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
3.8field-weighted citation impact, top 6% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

23 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 35 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
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  7. Cross Biobank Comparison of Phenomic Profiles.AMIA ... Annual Symposium proceedings. AMIA Symposium · 2024
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  9. Development and validation of common data model-based fracture prediction model using machine learning algorithm.Osteoporosis international : a journal established as result of cooperation between the European Foundation for Osteoporosis and the National Osteoporosis Foundation of the USA · 2023
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  15. Data Consult Service: Can we use observational data to address immediate clinical needs?Journal of the American Medical Informatics Association : JAMIA · 2021
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

23 authors at 11 institutions in 4 countries.

Qiong WangBiomedical Engineering School, Sun Yat-Sen University, Guangzhou, China.ORCID 0000-0002-7225-5235
Jenna M RepsObservational Health Data Sciences and Informatics, New York, New York, United States of America.
Kristin Feeney KostkaObservational Health Data Sciences and Informatics, New York, New York, United States of America.
Patrick B RyanObservational Health Data Sciences and Informatics, New York, New York, United States of America.
Yuhui ZouDepartment of Neurosurgery, General Hospital of Southern Theatre Command, Guangzhou, China.
Erica A VossObservational Health Data Sciences and Informatics, New York, New York, United States of America.
Peter R RijnbeekObservational Health Data Sciences and Informatics, New York, New York, United States of America.
RuiJun ChenObservational Health Data Sciences and Informatics, New York, New York, United States of America.
Gowtham A RaoObservational Health Data Sciences and Informatics, New York, New York, United States of America.
Henry Morgan StewartObservational Health Data Sciences and Informatics, New York, New York, United States of America.
Andrew E WilliamsObservational Health Data Sciences and Informatics, New York, New York, United States of America.
Ross D WilliamsObservational Health Data Sciences and Informatics, New York, New York, United States of America.
Mui Van ZandtObservational Health Data Sciences and Informatics, New York, New York, United States of America.
Thomas FalconerObservational Health Data Sciences and Informatics, New York, New York, United States of America.
Margarita Fernandez-ChasObservational Health Data Sciences and Informatics, New York, New York, United States of America.
Rohit VashishtObservational Health Data Sciences and Informatics, New York, New York, United States of America.
Stephen R PfohlObservational Health Data Sciences and Informatics, New York, New York, United States of America.
Nigam H ShahObservational Health Data Sciences and Informatics, New York, New York, United States of America.
Suranga N KasthurirathneObservational Health Data Sciences and Informatics, New York, New York, United States of America.
Seng Chan YouObservational Health Data Sciences and Informatics, New York, New York, United States of America.
Qing JiangBiomedical Engineering School, Sun Yat-Sen University, Guangzhou, China.
Christian ReichObservational Health Data Sciences and Informatics, New York, New York, United States of America.
Yi ZhouDepartment of Biomedical Engineering, Zhongshan School of Medicine, Sun Yat-Sen University, Guangzhou, China.
IQVIA (United States) · USErasmus MC · NLJanssen (United States) · USStanford Medicine · USSun Yat-sen University · CNAjou University · KRColumbia University · USCornell University · USRegenstrief Institute · USThird Affiliated Hospital of Southern Medical University · CNTufts Medical Center · US

Funding

Tufts Clinical and Translational Science Institute (Pilot Supplement)UL1TR002544 · NCATS · TUFTS UNIVERSITY BOSTON · PI SELKER, HARRY P. · 2018 to 2022
$50.2M
Biomedical Data Science Graduate Training at StanfordT32LM012409 · NLM · STANFORD UNIVERSITY · PI PLEVRITIS, SYLVIA KATINA · 2016 to 2020
$1.5M
NCATS NIH HHS UL1 TR002544NLM NIH HHS T32 LM012409
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

background and purposeHemorrhagic transformation (HT) after cerebral infarction is a complex and multifactorial phenomenon in the acute stage of ischemic stroke, and often results in a poor prognosis. Thus, identifying risk factors and making an early prediction of HT in acute cerebral infarction contributes not only to the selections of therapeutic regimen but also, more importantly, to the improvement of prognosis of acute cerebral infarction. The purpose of this study was to develop and validate a model to predict a patient's risk of HT within 30 days of initial ischemic stroke.

methodsWe utilized a retrospective multicenter observational cohort study design to develop a Lasso Logistic Regression prediction model with a large, US Electronic Health Record dataset which structured to the Observational Medical Outcomes Partnership (OMOP) Common Data Model (CDM). To examine clinical transportability, the model was externally validated across 10 additional real-world healthcare datasets include EHR records for patients from America, Europe and Asia.

resultsIn the database the model was developed, the target population cohort contained 621,178 patients with ischemic stroke, of which 5,624 patients had HT within 30 days following initial ischemic stroke. 612 risk predictors, including the distance a patient travels in an ambulance to get to care for a HT, were identified. An area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of 0.75 was achieved in the internal validation of the risk model. External validation was performed across 10 databases totaling 5,515,508 patients with ischemic stroke, of which 86,401 patients had HT within 30 days following initial ischemic stroke. The mean external AUC was 0.71 and ranged between 0.60-0.78.

conclusionsA HT prognostic predict model was developed with Lasso Logistic Regression based on routinely collected EMR data. This model can identify patients who have a higher risk of HT than the population average with an AUC of 0.78. It shows the OMOP CDM is an appropriate data standard for EMR secondary use in clinical multicenter research for prognostic prediction model development and validation. In the future, combining this model with clinical information systems will assist clinicians to make the right therapy decision for patients with acute ischemic stroke.

Indexed as

Models, StatisticalBrain IschemiaCerebral HemorrhageFemaleFollow-Up StudiesHumansMaleMiddle AgedPrognosisRetrospective StudiesRisk AssessmentRisk FactorsROC CurveStroke

Identifiers

PMID31910437
PMCPMC6946584
OpenAlexW2999840980

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.