ArticleAnnals of surgical treatment and research2020
Development and validation of a clinical score to predict 1-year survival of arteriovenous fistula access: a diagnostic study.
Article in Annals of surgical treatment and research, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 4 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.
What it found
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Who cites it
4 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 8 citations in OpenAlex.
- Systematic review of risk prediction models for arteriovenous fistula dysfunction in maintenance hemodialysis patients.PloS one · 2025Pooled it
- Prediction model for radial-cephalic arteriovenous fistula failure to mature.Annals of medicine · 2025Article
- Acute Effect of Two Different Hand Exercises on Vessel Size in Patients Undergoing Arteriovenous Fistula Creation.Annals of vascular diseases · 2025Article
- Risk Prediction of Arteriovenous Fistula Dysfunction in Hemodialysis Patients Using Routine Clinical Indicators.Kidney diseases (Basel, Switzerland)Article
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Authors and funding
1 author at 1 institution in 1 country.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
purposeTo develop and validate a clinical scoring model to predict 1-year access survival among end-stage renal disease (ESRD) patients who received a new arteriovenous fistula (AVF).
methodsThe data of 195 ESRD patients in the development cohort who underwent first-time AVF creation between January 2009 and June 2013 and who had successful cannulation for dialysis use were reviewed. The clinical features that were significantly associated with 1-year AVF survival were incorporated into a clinical scoring model. The validity of this clinical score was then tested in a validation cohort of 204 ESRD patients who received a new AVF between July 2013 and December 2017.
resultsOf the 195 patients in the development cohort, 168 patients (86.2%) had a well-functioning AVF at 1 year. Absence of diabetes mellitus, no previous history of central venous catheter insertion, and absence of intervention performed to achieve access maturation were positively associated with 1-year AVF survival. These 3 factors were incorporated into a clinical scoring model, which ranged from 0 to 4 points. For a cutoff score of ≥3, the sensitivity, specificity and area under the receiver operating characteristic curve to predict 1-year AVF survival were 81.5%, 70.4%, and 0.760, respectively. The predictive performance of the clinical score was confirmed in the validation cohort, with a sensitivity of 76.1%, a specificity of 64.4% and an area under the curve of 0.703.
conclusionThe scoring model using clinical data yielded acceptable performance in predicting 1-year access survival among patients receiving a new AVF.
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