Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31902625›Full record

ArticleAnnals of epidemiology2020

Spatio-temporal dynamics of measles outbreaks in Cameroon.

Alyssa S Parpia, Laura A Skrip, Elaine O Nsoesie, Moise C Ngwa, Aristide S Abah Abah, Alison P Galvani, Martial L Ndeffo-Mbah

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Annals of epidemiology, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 8 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
8citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

8 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Review
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Alyssa S ParpiaDepartment of Epidemiology of Microbial Diseases, Yale School of Public Health, New Haven, CT.
Laura A SkripInstitute for Disease Modeling, Bellevue, WA.
Elaine O NsoesieDepartment of Global Health, Boston University School of Public Health, Boston, MA.
Moise C NgwaDepartment of International Health, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, MD.
Aristide S Abah AbahDepartment of Epidemiological Surveillance, Ministry of Health, Yaoundé, Cameroon.
Alison P GalvaniDepartment of Epidemiology of Microbial Diseases, Yale School of Public Health, New Haven, CT.
Martial L Ndeffo-MbahDepartment of Veterinary and Integrative Biosciences, Texas A&M College of Veterinary Medicine and Biomedical Sciences, College Station, TX; Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Texas A&M School of Public Health, College Station, TX. Electronic address: mndeffo@cvm.tamu.edu.

Funding

Impacts of Individual and Social Behavior on Influenza Dynamics and ControlU01GM087719 · NIGMS · YALE UNIVERSITY · PI GALVANI, ALISON P, MEYERS, LAUREN ANCEL · 2009 to 2018
$6.3M
A Framework for Integrating Multiple Data Sources for Modeling and Forecasting of Infectious DiseasesK01ES025438 · NIEHS · UNIVERSITY OF WASHINGTON · PI NSOESIE, ELAINE O. · 2014 to 2016
$322k
NIEHS NIH HHS K01 ES025438NIGMS NIH HHS U01 GM087719
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

purposeIn 2012, Cameroon experienced a large measles outbreak of over 14,000 cases. To determine the spatio-temporal dynamics of measles transmission in Cameroon, we analyzed weekly case data collected by the Ministry of Health.

methodsWe compared several multivariate time-series models of population movement to characterize the spatial spread of measles in Cameroon. Using the best model, we evaluated the contribution of population mobility to disease transmission at increasing geographic resolutions: region, department, and health district.

resultsOur spatio-temporal analysis showed that the power law model, which accounts for long-distance population movement, best represents the spatial spread of measles in Cameroon. Population movement between health districts within departments contributed to 7.6% (range: 0.4%-13.4%) of cases at the district level, whereas movement between departments within regions contributed to 16.0% (range: 1.3%-23.2%) of cases. Long-distance movement between regions contributed to 16.7% (range: 0.1%-59.0%) of cases at the region level, 20.1% (range: 7.1%-30.0%) at the department level, and 29.7% (range: 15.3%-47.6%) at the health district level.

conclusionsPopulation long-distance mobility is an important driver of measles dynamics in Cameroon. These findings demonstrate the need to improve our understanding of the roles of population mobility and local heterogeneity of vaccination coverage in the spread and control of measles in Cameroon.

Indexed as

Vaccination CoverageCameroonCluster AnalysisDisease OutbreaksHumansMeaslesMeasles VaccineRural PopulationSpatio-Temporal AnalysisUrban PopulationVaccinationMeasles VaccineCameroonMeasles outbreaksMultivariate modelsSpatio-temporal analysis

Identifiers

PMID31902625
PMCPMC7056523

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceTDM
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.