Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31891146›Full record

ArticleEClinicalMedicine2019

Development and external validation of a dynamic prognostic nomogram for primary extremity soft tissue sarcoma survivors.

Dario Callegaro, Rosalba Miceli, Sylvie Bonvalot, Peter C Ferguson, Dirk C Strauss, Veroniek V M van Praag, Antonin Levy, Anthony M Griffin, Andrew J Hayes, Silvia Stacchiotti and 12 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in EClinicalMedicine, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 32 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
32citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

32 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Trial
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  4. Review
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
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  10. Article
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  13. [Localized soft tissue sarcomas].Chirurgie (Heidelberg, Germany) · 2025
    Review
  14. Article
  15. Article
  16. Article
  17. CIRCUS: CIRCUlating tumour cells in soft tissue Sarcoma - a short report.Cancer drug resistance (Alhambra, Calif.) · 2024
    Article
  18. Article
  19. Article
  20. Staging Systems and Nomograms for Soft Tissue Sarcoma.Current oncology (Toronto, Ont.) · 2023
    Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

22 authors.

Dario CallegaroDepartment of Surgery, Fondazione IRCCS Istituto Nazionale dei Tumori, Milan 20133 , Italy.
Rosalba MiceliDepartment of Clinical Epidemiology and Trial Organization, Fondazione IRCCS Istituto Nazionale dei Tumori, Milan, Italy.
Sylvie BonvalotDepartment of Surgery, Institut Curie, PSL Research University, Paris, France.
Peter C FergusonUniversity Musculoskeletal Oncology Unit, Mount Sinai Hospital, Department of Surgical Oncology, Princess Margaret Cancer Center, Department of Surgery, University of Toronto, Toronto, ON, Canada.
Dirk C StraussDepartment of Surgery, Royal Marsden Hospital NHS Foundation Trust, London, UK.
Veroniek V M van PraagDepartment of Orthopaedic Surgery, Leiden University Medical Center, Leiden, The Netherlands.
Antonin LevyDepartment of Radiation Oncology, Gustave Roussy Cancer Campus, Paris Saclay University, Villejuif, France.
Anthony M GriffinUniversity Musculoskeletal Oncology Unit, Mount Sinai Hospital, Department of Surgical Oncology, Princess Margaret Cancer Center, Department of Surgery, University of Toronto, Toronto, ON, Canada.
Andrew J HayesDepartment of Surgery, Royal Marsden Hospital NHS Foundation Trust, London, UK.
Silvia StacchiottiDepartment of Cancer Medicine, Fondazione IRCCS Istituto Nazionale dei Tumori, Milan, Italy.
Cecile Le PèchouxDepartment of Radiation Oncology, Gustave Roussy Cancer Campus, Paris Saclay University, Villejuif, France.
Myles J SmithDepartment of Surgery, Royal Marsden Hospital NHS Foundation Trust, London, UK.
Marco FioreDepartment of Surgery, Fondazione IRCCS Istituto Nazionale dei Tumori, Milan 20133 , Italy.
Angelo Paolo Dei TosDepartment of Pathology, General Hospital of Treviso, Treviso, Italy.
Henry G SmithDepartment of Surgery, Royal Marsden Hospital NHS Foundation Trust, London, UK.
Charles CattonDepartment of Radiation Oncology, Mount Sinai and Princess Margaret Hospitals, University of Toronto, Toronto, ON, Canada.
Joanna SzkanderaDivision of Clinical Oncology, Medical University of Graz, Graz, Austria.
Andreas LeithnerDepartment of Orthopaedics and Trauma, Medical University of Graz, Graz, Austria.
Michiel A J van de SandeDepartment of Orthopaedic Surgery, Leiden University Medical Center, Leiden, The Netherlands.
Paolo G CasaliDepartment of Cancer Medicine, Fondazione IRCCS Istituto Nazionale dei Tumori, Milan, Italy.
Jay S WunderUniversity Musculoskeletal Oncology Unit, Mount Sinai Hospital, Department of Surgical Oncology, Princess Margaret Cancer Center, Department of Surgery, University of Toronto, Toronto, ON, Canada.
Alessandro GronchiDepartment of Surgery, Fondazione IRCCS Istituto Nazionale dei Tumori, Milan 20133 , Italy.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundPrognostic nomograms for patients with extremity soft tissue sarcoma (eSTS) typically predict survival or the occurrence of local recurrence or distant metastasis at time of surgery. Our aim was to develop and externally validate a dynamic prognostic nomogram for overall survival in eSTS survivors for use during follow-up.

methodsAll primary eSTS patients operated with curative intent between 1994 and 2013 at three European and one Canadian sarcoma centers formed the development cohort. Patients with Fédération Française des Centres de Lutte Contre le Cancer (FNCLCC) grade II and grade III eSTS operated between 2000 and 2016 at seven other European reference centers formed the external validation cohort. We used a landmark analysis approach and a multivariable Cox model to create a dynamic nomogram; the prediction window was fixed at five years. A backward procedure based on the Akaike Information Criterion was adopted for variable selection. We tested the nomogram performance in terms of calibration and discrimination.

findingsThe development and validation cohorts included 3740 and 893 patients, respectively. The variables selected applying the backward procedure were patient's age, tumor size and its interaction with landmark time, tumor FNCLCC grade and its interaction with landmark time, histology, and both local recurrence and distant metastasis (as first event) indicator variables. The nomogram showed good calibration and discrimination. Harrell C indexes at different landmark times were between 0.776 (0.761-0.790) and 0.845 (0.823-0.862) in the development series and between 0.675 (0.643-0.704) and 0.810 (0.775-0.844) in the validation series.

interpretationA new dynamic nomogram is available to predict 5-year overall survival at different times during the first three years of follow-up in patients operated for primary eSTS. This nomogram allows physicians to update the individual survival prediction during follow-up on the basis of baseline variables, time elapsed from surgery and first-event history.

Indexed as

Dynamic predictionLandmark analysisPrognostic nomogramSarcomaSoft tissue sarcoma: Survivors

Identifiers

PMID31891146
PMCPMC6933187

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.