Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31889890›Full record

ArticleMethodology and computing in applied probability2018

Type I Error Probability Spending for Post-Market Drug and Vaccine Safety Surveillance With Poisson Data.

Ivair R Silva

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Methodology and computing in applied probability, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 7 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
7citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

7 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Robust Alpha Spending for Unstable Data.Statistics in medicine · 2026
    Article
  2. Article
  3. Review
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

1 author.

Ivair R SilvaDepartment of Statistics, Federal University of Ouro Preto, Ouro Preto, Minas Gerais, Brazil.ORCID 0000-0003-2701-8924

Funding

Software for Near Real-Time Post-Market Drug and Vaccine Safety SurveillanceR01GM108999 · NIGMS · HARVARD PILGRIM HEALTH CARE, INC. · PI KULLDORFF, MARTIN · 2014 to 2017
$1.1M
NIGMS NIH HHS R01 GM108999
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Statistical sequential hypothesis testing is meant to analyze cumulative data accruing in time. The methods can be divided in two types, group and continuous sequential approaches, and a question that arises is if one approach suppresses the other in some sense. For Poisson stochastic processes, we prove that continuous sequential analysis is uniformly better than group sequential under a comprehensive class of statistical performance measures. Hence, optimal solutions are in the class of continuous designs. This paper also offers a pioneer study that compares classical Type I error spending functions in terms of expected number of events to signal. This was done for a number of tuning parameters scenarios. The results indicate that a log-exp shape for the Type I error spending function is the best choice in most of the evaluated scenarios.

Indexed as

Expected number of events to signalLog-exp alpha spendingSequential probability ratio test

Identifiers

PMID31889890
PMCPMC6936745

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceTDM
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.