ArticleEpidemiology and infection2019
Seasonality of the transmissibility of hand, foot and mouth disease: a modelling study in Xiamen City, China.
Article in Epidemiology and infection, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 26 papers.
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26 citing papers in PubMed.
- Sex- and age-specific transmission pathways of mumps: a mechanistic SEPIAR modeling study in Chengdu, China (2008-2019).BMC public health · 2026Article
- Transmission components of hand, foot, and mouth disease in Guangdong Province and their association with meteorological factors: a modelling study.BMC infectious diseases · 2025Article
- Impact of kindergarten structures on the dynamics of hand, foot, and mouth disease and the effects of intervention strategies: an agent-based modeling study.BMC medicine · 2025Article
- Joint estimation of hand-foot-mouth disease model and prediction in korea using the ensemble kalman filter.PLoS computational biology · 2025Article
- Trends in general practitioner consultations for hand foot and mouth disease in England between 2017 and 2022.Epidemiology and infection · 2025Article
- Molecular epidemiology and phylodynamic analysis of enterovirus 71 in Beijing, China, 2009-2019.Virology journal · 2023Article
- Dual-attention-based recurrent neural network for hand-foot-mouth disease prediction in Korea.Scientific reports · 2023Article
- Assessment of transmissibility and measures effectiveness of SARS in 8 regions, China, 2002-2003.Frontiers in cellular and infection microbiology · 2023Article
- Application of logistic differential equation models for early warning of infectious diseases in Jilin Province.BMC public health · 2022Article
- Epidemiological and etiological characteristics of mild hand, foot and mouth disease in children under 7 years old, Nanjing, China, 2010-2019.Archives of public health = Archives belges de sante publique · 2022Article
- Transmissibility of hand, foot, and mouth disease in 97 counties of China.Scientific reports · 2022Article
- Study on the interaction between different pathogens of Hand, foot and mouth disease in five regions of China.Frontiers in public health · 2022Article
- Assessing the Impacts of Meteorological Factors on COVID-19 Pandemic Using Generalized Estimating Equations.Frontiers in public health · 2022Article
- Age-specific transmission dynamic of mumps: A long-term large-scale modeling study in Jilin Province, China.Frontiers in public health · 2022Article
- Analysis of HFMD Transmissibility Among the Whole Population and Age Groups in a Large City of China.Frontiers in public health · 2022Article
- Control measures during the COVID-19 outbreak reduced the transmission of hand, foot, and mouth disease.Journal of safety science and resilience = An quan ke xue yu ren xing (Ying wen) · 2021Article
- The epidemiological characteristics and effectiveness of countermeasures to contain coronavirus disease 2019 in Ningbo City, Zhejiang Province, China.Scientific reports · 2021Article
- Effectiveness of potential antiviral treatments in COVID-19 transmission control: a modelling study.Infectious diseases of poverty · 2021Article
- Evaluating the effectiveness of measures to control the novel coronavirus disease 2019 in Jilin Province, China.BMC infectious diseases · 2021Article
- Hand, Foot, and Mouth Disease in Thailand: A Comprehensive Modelling of Epidemic Dynamics.Computational and mathematical methods in medicine · 2021Article
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Abstract
This study attempts to figure out the seasonality of the transmissibility of hand, foot and mouth disease (HFMD). A mathematical model was established to calculate the transmissibility based on the reported data for HFMD in Xiamen City, China from 2014 to 2018. The transmissibility was measured by effective reproduction number (Reff) in order to evaluate the seasonal characteristics of HFMD. A total of 43 659 HFMD cases were reported in Xiamen, for the period 2014 to 2018. The median of annual incidence was 221.87 per 100 000 persons (range: 167.98/100,000-283.34/100 000). The reported data had a great fitting effect with the model (R2 = 0.9212, P < 0.0001), it has been shown that there are two epidemic peaks of HFMD in Xiamen every year. Both incidence and effective reproduction number had seasonal characteristics. The peak of incidence, 1-2 months later than the effective reproduction number, occurred in Summer and Autumn, that is, June and October each year. Both the incidence and transmissibility of HFMD have obvious seasonal characteristics, and two annual epidemic peaks as well. The peak of incidence is 1-2 months later than Reff.
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