ArticlePLoS computational biology2019
Fine-scale family structure shapes influenza transmission risk in households: Insights from primary schools in Matsumoto city, 2014/15.
Article in PLoS computational biology, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 26 papers.
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Who cites it
26 citing papers in PubMed, 49 citations in OpenAlex.
- Role-specific household contact patterns in urban and rural China: Implications for influenza household transmission.Infectious Disease Modelling · 2027Article
- Relationship between household attributes and contact patterns in urban and rural South Africa.PloS one · 2026Article
- Factors Associated With the Transmission of the Delta Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2 Variant in Households: The Israeli COVID-19 Family Study (ICoFS).The Journal of infectious diseases · 2025Article
- How do large-scale population studies inform vaccine evaluations in England?Clinical and experimental immunology · 2025Review
- Article
- Addressing current limitations of household transmission studies by collecting contact data.American journal of epidemiology · 2024Article
- Model-based estimates of age-structured SARS-CoV-2 epidemiology in households.BMC public health · 2024Article
- Household Transmission Dynamics of Seasonal Human Coronaviruses.The Journal of infectious diseases · 2023Article
- Transmission dynamics of seasonal influenza in a remote island population.Scientific reports · 2023Article
- Prescription of anti-influenza drugs in Japan, 2014-2020: A retrospective study using open data from the national claims database.PloS one · 2023Article
- Assessing the effect of school closures on the spread of COVID-19 in Zurich.Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series A, (Statistics in Society) · 2022Article
- Comparison of Intra-Familial Transmission of Influenza Virus From Index Patients Treated With Baloxavir Marboxil or Oseltamivir Using an Influenza Transmission Model and a Health Insurance Claims Database.Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America · 2022Article
- Inferring risks of coronavirus transmission from community household data.Statistical methods in medical research · 2022Article
- Article
- The burden of hospital-attended influenza in Norwegian children.Frontiers in pediatrics · 2022Article
- Estimating the contribution of HIV-infected adults to household pneumococcal transmission in South Africa, 2016-2018: A hidden Markov modelling study.PLoS computational biology · 2021Article
- Age-seroprevalence curves for the multi-strain structure of influenza A virus.Nature communications · 2021Article
- Within and between classroom transmission patterns of seasonal influenza among primary school students in Matsumoto city, Japan.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2021Article
- The effect of eviction moratoria on the transmission of SARS-CoV-2.Nature communications · 2021Article
- Dynamics of COVID-19 under social distancing measures are driven by transmission network structure.PLoS computational biology · 2021Article
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
4 authors at 2 institutions in 2 countries.
Funding
Abstract
Households are important settings for the transmission of seasonal influenza. Previous studies found that the per-person risk of within-household transmission decreases with household size. However, more detailed heterogeneities driven by household composition and contact patterns have not been studied. We employed a mathematical model that accounts for infections both from outside and within the household. The model was applied to citywide primary school seasonal influenza surveillance and household surveys from 10,486 students during the 2014/15 season in Matsumoto city, Japan. We compared a range of models to estimate the structure of household transmission and found that familial relationship and household composition strongly influenced the transmission patterns of seasonal influenza in households. Children had a substantially high risk of infection from outside the household (up to 20%) compared with adults (1-3%). Intense transmission was observed within-generation (between children/parents/grandparents) and also between mother and child, with transmission risks typically ranging from 5-20% depending on the transmission route and household composition. Children were identified as the largest source of secondary transmission, with family structure influencing infection risk.
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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.