Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31870317›Full record

ArticleBMC geriatrics2019

Old subjects with sepsis in the emergency department: trend analysis of case fatality rate.

Andrea Fabbri, Giulio Marchesini, Barbara Benazzi, Alice Morelli, Danilo Montesi, Cesare Bini, Stefano Giovanni Rizzo

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMC geriatrics, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed
0.8field-weighted citation impact, top 25% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed, 9 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Review
  2. Article
  3. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors at 5 institutions in 2 countries.

Andrea FabbriEmergency Department, Presidio Ospedaliero Morgagni-Pierantoni, AUSL della Romagna, via C. Forlanini 34, 47121, Forlì, FC, Italy. andrea.fabbri@auslromagna.it.ORCID 0000-0002-9837-4638
Giulio MarchesiniDepartment of Medical and Surgical Sciences, "Alma Mater" University, S. Orsola-Malpighi Hospital, Via Massarenti 9, I-40138, Bologna, Italy.
Barbara BenazziEmergency Department, Presidio Ospedaliero Morgagni-Pierantoni, AUSL della Romagna, via C. Forlanini 34, 47121, Forlì, FC, Italy.
Alice MorelliEmergency Department, Presidio Ospedaliero Morgagni-Pierantoni, AUSL della Romagna, via C. Forlanini 34, 47121, Forlì, FC, Italy.
Danilo MontesiDepartment of Computer Science and Engineering, Alma Mater University, Mura Anteo Zamboni 7, 40127, Bologna, Italy.
Cesare BiniHealthcare Management Unit, Presidio Ospedaliero Morgagni-Pierantoni, AUSL della Romagna, via C. Forlanini 34, 47121, Forlì, FC, Italy.
Stefano Giovanni RizzoQatar Computing research Institute (QCRI), HBKU, Doha, Qatar.
Presidio Ospedaliero · ITAzienda Unità Sanitaria Locale Della Romagna · ITIRCCS Azienda Ospedliero-Universitaria di Bologna Policlinico di Sant'Orsola · ITQatar Cardiovascular Research Center · QAZambon (Italy) · IT

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThe burden of sepsis represents a global health care problem. We aimed to assess the case fatality rate (CFR) and its predictors in subjects with sepsis admitted to a general Italian hospital from 2009 to 2016, stratified by risk score.

methodsWe performed a retrospective analysis of all sepsis-related hospitalizations after Emergency Department (ED) visit in a public Italian hospital in an 8-year period. A risk score to predict CFR was computed by logistic regression analysis of selected variables in a training set (2009-2012), and then confirmed in the whole study population. A trend analysis of CFR during the study period was performed dividing patient as high-risk (upper tertile of risk score) or low-risk.

resultsTwo thousand four hundred ninety-two subjects were included. Over time the incidental admission rate (no. of sepsis-related admissions per 100 total admissions) increased from 4.1% (2009-2010) to 5.4% (2015-2016); P < 0.001, accompanied by a reduced CFR (from 38.0 to 18.4%; P < 0.001). A group of 10 variables (admission to intensive care unit, cardio-vascular dysfunction, HIV infection, diabetes, age ≥ 80 years, respiratory diseases, number of organ dysfunction, digestive diseases, dementia and cancer) were selected by the logistic model to predict CFR with good accuracy: AUC 0.873 [0.009]. Along the years CFR decreased from 31.8% (2009-2010) to 25.0% (2015-2016); P = 0.007. The relative proportion of subjects ≥80 years (overall, 52.9% of cases) and classified as high-risk did not change along the years. CFR decreased only in low-risk subjects (from 13.3 to 5.2%; P < 0.001), and particularly in those aged ≥80 (from 18.2 to 6.6%; P = 0.003), but not in high-risk individuals (from 69.9 to 64.2%; P = 0.713).

conclusionBetween 2009 and 2016 the incidence of sepsis-related hospitalization increased in a general Italian hospital, with a downward trend in CFR, only limited to low-risk patients and particularly to subjects ≥80 years.

Indexed as

AgedAged, 80 and overEmergency Service, HospitalFemaleHospitalizationHumansIncidenceIntensive Care UnitsItalyMaleRetrospective StudiesRisk AssessmentSepsisSurvival RateCase fatality rateElderlyEmergency departmentRisk scoreSepsisTrend

Identifiers

PMID31870317
PMCPMC6929475
OpenAlexW2995608061

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.