ArticleOecologia2020
Rainfall, not soil temperature, will limit the seed germination of dry forest species with climate change.
Article in Oecologia, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 7 papers.
What it found
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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
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Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
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Who cites it
7 citing papers in PubMed, 76 citations in OpenAlex.
- Limited drought tolerance in the neotropical seasonally dry forest plants impairs future species richness.Plant biology (Stuttgart, Germany) · 2026Article
- Have you ever seen the rain? The life cycle of Crotalaria retusa (Fabaceae) reveals reproductive resilience under drought conditions.Journal of plant research · 2025Article
- The Impact of Water Potential and Temperature on Native Species' Capability for Seed Germination in the Loess Plateau Region, China.Plants (Basel, Switzerland) · 2024Article
- Effects of Vertically Heterogeneous Soil Salinity on Genetic Polymorphism and Productivity of the Widespread HalophyteLife (Basel, Switzerland) · 2022Article
- Recruitment of pioneer trees with physically dormant seeds under climate change: the case of Vachellia pennatula (Fabaceae) in semiarid environments of Mexico.Journal of plant research · 2022Article
- Comparison of the effect of temperature and water potential on the seed germination of fiveFrontiers in plant science · 2022Article
- Regulation of Seed Dormancy and Germination Mechanisms in a Changing Environment.International journal of molecular sciences · 2021Review
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
11 authors at 5 institutions in 2 countries.
Funding
Abstract
Drylands are predicted to become more arid and saline due to increasing global temperature and drought. Although species from the Caatinga, a Brazilian tropical dry forest, are tolerant to these conditions, the capacity for germination to withstand extreme soil temperature and water deficit associated with climate change remains to be quantified. We aimed to evaluate how germination will be affected under future climate change scenarios of limited water and increased temperature. Seeds of three species were germinated at different temperatures and osmotic potentials. Thermal time and hydrotime model parameters were established and thresholds for germination calculated. Germination performance in 2055 was predicted, by combining temperature and osmotic/salt stress thresholds, considering soil temperature and moisture following rainfall events. The most pessimistic climate scenario predicts an increase of 3.9 °C in soil temperature and 30% decrease in rainfall. Under this scenario, soil temperature is never lower than the minimum and seldomly higher than maximum temperature thresholds for germination. As long as the soil moisture (0.139 cm
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Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.